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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1243 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

NMZ401>403-408>410-412>417-311845-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-
SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
1243 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING ALONG DRAINAGES AND LOW
WATER CROSSINGS POSSIBLE. THE STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL
AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. IN AREAS WHERE HEAVY RAIN HAS ALREADY
FALLEN THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN RAIN RUNOFF INTO ARROYOS AND
SMALL STREAMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WITH THE GROUND
ALREADY SOAKED FROM PREVIOUS RAINFALLS...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
EXCESSIVE RAIN RUNOFF TO CAUSE FLOODING ALONG DRAINAGES...SMALL
STREAMS...ARROYOS AND AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS. POORLY DRAINED LOW
LYING AREAS AND ROADS WILL HAVE INCREASED PONDING OF WATER.
PORTIONS OF GRANT...SIERRA AND OTERO COUNTIES WILL BE UNDER A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY MORNING. RAINS OVER
THE NEXT THREE DAYS ARE PROJECTED TO BE BETWEEN AND INCH AND A
HALF TO TWO AND HALF INCHES. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY...WITH HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL LIMITED
TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING
TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

$$



Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
455 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

...HEAVY RAINS WITH FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL FOR TODAY THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

.A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS IN PLACE OVER SOUTHERN NEW
MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS. PORTIONS OF THE AREA HAVE ALREADY
RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL...RESULTING SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS. A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER EL PASO AND OTERO COUNTIES WILL CONTINUE
MOVING WEST TODAY AND HELP INITIATE FURTHER SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN THE AREA. WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN
PLACE...STORMS WILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. EXCESSIVE
RAIN RUNOFF WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG
DRAINAGES...ARROYOS AND SMALL STREAMS. ADDITIONALLY...POORLY
DRAINED LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS WILL SEE INCREASED PONDING OF
WATER. THIS MOIST RAINY PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST
SATURDAY...AND LIKELY INTO SUNDAY.

NMZ402-403-408>410-412>417-312200-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.A.0001.140731T1400Z-140802T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-
SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...FAYWOOD...HURLEY...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
HILLSBORO...WINSTON...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...SPACEPORT...
GARFIELD...HATCH...RADIUM SPRINGS...ALAMOGORDO...TULAROSA...
WHITE SANDS MONUMENT...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...CHAPARRAL...MESCALERO...
MOUNTAIN PARK...TIMBERON...CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...
MAYHILL...SACRAMENTO...PINON...CROW FLATS
455 AM MDT THU JUL 31 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NM...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CENTRAL
  TULAROSA BASIN...EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500
  FEET...EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS...NORTHERN DONA ANA
  COUNTY...OTERO MESA...SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET...
  SIERRA COUNTY LAKES...SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY...
  SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE...SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN
  AND WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET.

* SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS FROM PREVIOUS RAINS COMBINED WITH
  EXPECTED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS WILL GENERATE
  EXCESSIVE RAIN RUNOFF WITH A POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING
  ALONG DRAINAGES...SMALL STREAMS...ARROYOS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

* WIDESPREAD AREAS OF RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH A FEW
  AREAS POSSIBLY TOTALING 4-5 INCHES...THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS AND STREAMS COULD BE QUICKLY FILLED WITH
  FAST MOVING WATER...MUD AND DEBRIS. LOW WATER CROSSING
  ROADWAYS COULD BECOME IMPASSABLE. FLOODING OF POORLY DRAINED
  STREETS AND INTERSECTIONS IS POSSIBLE FOR URBAN AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

HEFNER







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