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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
416 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-301145-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
416 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR EARLY THIS EVENING OVER EASTERN
MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS, AND A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD
PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

THERE WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT OVER
NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. THESE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

POINTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN MAJOR
FLOOD THROUGH AT LEAST THE 4TH OF JULY WEEKEND. MAJOR FLOODING IS
FORECAST ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT WINFIELD LOCK AND DAM
25...GRAFTON AND CHESTER OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY. THESE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE INCREASING DRAMATICALLY ON
TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED IN
THE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME. THE THUNDERSTORMS
DURING THIS TIME WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HAIL AND
STRONG WINDS, AS WELL AS HEAVY RAIN.

THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
ON THURSDAY...FRIDAY...AND INTO THE FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND.

POINTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN MAJOR
FLOOD THROUGH AT LEAST THE 4TH OF JULY WEEKEND. MAJOR FLOODING IS
FORECAST ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT WINFIELD LOCK AND DAM
25...GRAFTON AND CHESTER OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

$$

TRUETT






Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
ILC001-005-009-013-027-051-061-083-117-119-121-133-135-149-157-
163-189-MOC007-019-027-051-055-071-073-093-099-103-111-113-123-
127-135-137-139-151-163-173-179-183-186-187-189-205-219-221-510-
300845-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
331 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLOODING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

THE WEATHER PATTERN IS AGAIN SETTING UP THE POSSIBILITY OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE BI-STATE REGION OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. A COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL
SLOW DOWN ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS ON TUESDAY. AS
WARM...MOIST AIR PUSHES BACK OVER THIS FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...LOOK FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP.

WHILE THE HEAVIER RAIN IS STILL ALMOST TWO DAYS AWAY...IT APPEARS
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS MAY
AVERAGE TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY PERSIST THURSDAY SOUTH OF
I-70...WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN THURSDAY EXPECTED TO BE SOUTH OF THE
METRO ST. LOUIS AREA.

WITH MANY STREAMS STILL RUNNING HIGH...AND WITH THE GROUND SATURATED
FROM THE RECENT WET WEATHER...THIS RAINFALL COULD POST A THREAT OF
FLASH FLOODING...AND POSSIBLY WORSEN FLOOD IMPACTS ALONG LARGER
STREAMS AND RIVERS THAT ARE ALREADY FLOODED.

PEOPLE NEAR STREAMS SHOULD KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION AND REPORT ANY FLOODING TO THEIR LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT. TRAVELERS ENCOUNTERING A FLOODED ROADWAY SHOULD
ALWAYS REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN.

$$

FUCHS








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