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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
105 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-021815-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
105 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

 SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SEVERE
 STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

 ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING INTO EARLY
 THURSDAY MORNING ESPECIALLY NEAR AND SOUTH OF I-70. SOME STORMS MAY
 BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

 THERE IS ALSO A THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER THURSDAY OVER MOST OF THE
 AREA AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. STORMS ALONG
 THE COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A LINE OF STORMS CAPABLE
 OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN
 ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER
 FLOODING.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

$$








Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
KSC005-043-103-MOC003-021-033-041-047-089-095-107-165-177-195-
021444-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
944 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A HYDROLOGIC
OUTLOOK FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

...Missouri River near St Joseph...Atchison...Leavenworth...Sibley...
Napoleon...Waverly...Miami...Glasgow

This hydrologic outlook is based on the forecast rainfall for the
next 24 hours and estimated runoff from earlier rainfall. Crests may
vary if actual rainfall or runoff is greater or less than
anticipated.

Location: Missouri River at St Joseph
Flood stage: 17.0 feet
Latest stage: 12.9 feet at 8 AM Wednesday
Forecast crest: 24.0 feet Friday Oct 03
At 17.0 feet...Lowland flooding upstream and downstream from St.
Joseph occurs.

Location: Missouri River at Atchison
Flood stage: 22.0 feet
Latest stage: not available
Forecast crest: 24.7 feet Friday Oct 03
At 25.0 feet...A castings plant in Atchison is affected by flood
waters.

Location: Missouri River at Leavenworth
Flood stage: 20.0 feet
Latest stage: 10.0 feet at 9 AM Wednesday
Forecast crest: 22.0 feet Friday Oct 03
At 22.3 feet...Water enters Riverfront Park in Leavenworth. In
addition, 2nd Street at the waste water treatment plant is closed due
to high water. Persons should vacate the park to avoid the loss of
life and property.

Location: Missouri River at Sibley
Flood stage: 22.0 feet
Latest stage: not available
Forecast crest: 24.0 feet Saturday Oct 04
At 22.0 feet...Low-lying rural areas along the river and outside of
levee protection flood.

Location: Missouri River at Napoleon
Flood stage: 17.0 feet
Latest stage: 11.2 feet at 9 AM Wednesday
Forecast crest: 21.6 feet Saturday Oct 04


Location: Missouri River at Waverly
Flood stage: 20.0 feet
Latest stage: 14.5 feet at 8 AM Wednesday
Forecast crest: 23.9 feet Saturday Oct 04
At 23.5 feet...Rural areas along the river which are not protected by
levees flood.

Location: Missouri River At Miami
Flood stage: 18.0 feet
Latest stage: not available
Forecast crest: 22.8 feet Sunday Oct 05


Location: Missouri River at Glasgow
Flood stage: 25.0 feet
Latest stage: 15.7 feet at 8 AM Wednesday
Forecast crest: 25.4 feet Sunday Oct 05
At 25.0 feet...Farmland along the river floods.

Later statements...possibly warnings...may be issued as additional
information becomes available.

$$





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