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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
443 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-310845-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
443 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.
THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM HAZARD WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING...ALTHOUGH GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING
STRIKES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION WILL LEAD TO LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL PRODUCE
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL AS THE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING ON THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER
STATE PARK AND THE HORSE CREEK AT ARCADIA...AND MINOR FLOODING IS
OCCURRING ON SEVERAL OTHER RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN MAY AGGRAVATE FLOODING. RESIDENTS
LIVING ALONG RIVERS OR FASTER FLOWING STREAMS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE
OF WATER LEVELS AND BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD
FLOODING BE OBSERVED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED.
AREAL FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY AS LOCALIZED AREAS
SEE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
RIVER FLOODING WILL PERSIST ALONG MANY RIVERS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
FLORIDA THROUGH NEXT WEEK. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS OR
FASTER FLOWING STREAMS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF WATER LEVELS AND BE
READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING BE OBSERVED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

$$

FLEMING




Flood Warning

FLC057-310323-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0032.150831T0417Z-000000T0000Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.150831T0417Z.150902T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma.
* From late tonight until further notice.
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was...10.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late tonight and
  continue to rise to near 15.9 feet by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd
  streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.9 feet on Sep 19
  1947.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11  10.1  Sun 09 AM  11.9   15.1   15.9   15.5   14.6


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$



Flood Warning

FLC057-310323-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0031.150901T0215Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.150901T0215Z.150902T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* From Monday evening until further notice.
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was...9.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by monday evening and
  continue to rise to near 17.0 feet by Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
  bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.0 feet on Dec 14
  1997.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Alafia
 Lithia       13   9.6  Sun 09 AM  10.7   14.3   16.9   16.5   14.4


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$



Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
637 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE TODAY AND MONDAY...

.DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE AREA COMBINED WITH TROPICAL
MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA CURRENTLY MOVING INTO
THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOME VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA TODAY AND MONDAY. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS IS POSSIBLE.

FLZ050-052-056-057-061-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-248-249-251-
255-260-262-265-310000-
/O.CON.KTBW.FA.A.0007.150830T1200Z-150901T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL HERNANDO-
COASTAL PASCO-COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-
COASTAL SARASOTA-COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND HERNANDO-
INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-INLAND SARASOTA-
INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. PETERSBURG...CLEARWATER...LARGO...
LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...WAUCHULA...BOWLING GREEN...
ZOLFO SPRINGS...SEBRING...AVON PARK...PLACID LAKES...ARCADIA...
HERNANDO BEACH...BAYPORT...PORT RICHEY...HUDSON...TAMPA...
APOLLO BEACH...WESTCHASE...BRADENTON...ANNA MARIA ISLAND...
VENICE...SARASOTA...ENGLEWOOD...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...
CAPE CORAL...CAPTIVA...SANIBEL...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...
DADE CITY...ZEPHYRHILLS...BRANDON...PLANT CITY...
SUN CITY CENTER...PARRISH...LAKEWOOD RANCH...MYAKKA CITY...
NORTH PORT...BABCOCK RANCH...FORT MYERS...LEHIGH ACRES
637 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF FL AND FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING IN ...
  FL...COASTAL CHARLOTTE...COASTAL HERNANDO...COASTAL
  HILLSBOROUGH...COASTAL LEE...COASTAL MANATEE...COASTAL
  PASCO...COASTAL SARASOTA...INLAND CHARLOTTE...INLAND
  HERNANDO... INLAND HILLSBOROUGH...INLAND LEE...INLAND
  MANATEE...INLAND PASCO AND INLAND SARASOTA. IN
  FLORIDA...DESOTO...HARDEE... HIGHLANDS... PINELLAS AND POLK.

* THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE REGION COMBINED WITH THE
  TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA MOVING INTO THE
  SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL CREATE A THREAT FOR VERY HEAVY
  RAINFALL ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TODAY THROUGH
  MONDAY. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IS
  POSSIBLE.

* HEAVY RAIN MAY CREATE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF STREETS...URBAN
  AREAS...AND LOW LYING FLOOD PRONE AREAS. ADDITIONAL RIVER
  FLOODING MAY DEVELOP ACROSS WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...AND
  FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE EXACERBATED ON RIVERS CURRENTLY IN
  FLOOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 TO 36 HOURS. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE
ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$




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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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