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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
458 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-192100-
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
458 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDFLOW WILL ALLOW THE WEST COAST SEA
BREEZE TO PUSH ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA WHILE DELAYING THE ONSET OF
THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE TO THE LATE AFTERNOON. MID AFTERNOON
LIGHTNING STORMS SHOULD START TO DEVELOP AND TRACK TO THE EAST
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. ISOLATED STRONG STORMS ALONG THE COASTAL
AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON SHOULD SPREAD TO THE SOUTH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON
INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. AS SOME STORMS NEAR THE OCEAN
AND INTERACT WITH THE SEA BREEZE THEY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
BECOME STRONG...PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES AND SMALL HAIL FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
EVENING.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
OCEAN SWELL WILL PRODUCE A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA
BEACHES TODAY. THE RIP CURRENTS SHOULD BE AT THEIR STRONGEST
DURING THE AFTERNOON OUTGOING TIDE. DO NOT SWIM ALONE AND SWIM
NEAR A LIFE GUARD. CHECK WITH LIFE GUARDS CONCERNING SURF
CONDITIONS BEFORE GOING INTO THE SURF.


.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EASTWARD AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH
TOWARD THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR SHORE WATERS IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY CONTAIN
WIND GUSTS TO 35 TO 40 KNOTS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
THE CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STORMS WILL REMAIN ABOVE ON
MONDAY. A STRONG JET STREAM TRANSITING THE SOUTHEAST WILL ADD
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG STORMS CONTAINING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO
DEVELOP OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ON MONDAY. SUFFICIENT MOISTURE
REMAINING IN PLACE OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL ALLOW FOR STORMSTO
BE IN THE FORECAST DAILY THIS UPCOMING WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE
IF A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING IS ISSUED.

$$

WIMMER




Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1007 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-191900-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
1007 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.NOW...


SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES
OF BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE AND MARTIN BETWEEN NOON AND 2
PM WITH AN INITIAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH.  BUT AS THESE SHOWERS
GROW INTO LIGHTNING STORMS...THEIR MOTION WILL TURN TOWARD THE EAST
NORTHEAST AT 20 TO 30 MPH. STRONG SURFACE HEATING WILL COMBINE WITH
COOLING TEMPERATURES IN THE MID LEVELS AND A DIFLUENT FLOW ALOFT TO
PRODUCE A HIGHER COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF STORMS THAN WE HAVE SEEN
IN PREVIOUS DAYS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STRONG STORMS WILL BE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING...CONTAINING FREQUENT LIGHTNING
STRIKES...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. ONE OR TWO STORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS NEAR 60 MPH AND LARGE
HAIL. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE TEMPORARY FLOODING OF LOW LYING
AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

MARINE WARNINGS APPEAR LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING FOR
PORTIONS OF THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEARSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS. BOATERS
SHOULD KEEP AN EYE TO THE WESTERN SKY AS STORMS WILL PUSH OFFSHORE.
STORM MOTION WILL BE TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.


&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$





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