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2 products issued by NWS for:

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
407 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-012245-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
407 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.NOW...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE WAVE ON A STALLED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LEAD
TO AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN FROM METRO ORLANDO TO NEAR DELTONA AND INTO
NORTH BREVARD AND SOUTHEAST VOLUSIA COUNTIES.  THIS WEAK WAVE IS
MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD...SO THIS SHOULD HELP TO LIMIT OVERALL
AMOUNTS. HOWEVER...LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. FOR LOCATIONS SOUTHWARD TO OKEECHOBEE AND THE
TREASURE COAST...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS WILL MOVE MORE
QUICKLY AND LIMIT RAINFALL TOTALS TO ONE INCH OR LESS.


&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$

RL





Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED FLOOD IMPACT SECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
144 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-020000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
144 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS
THE PENINSULA INTO EVENING. LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE THE MAIN
HAZARD BUT A FEW STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 45
MPH.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
HIGH MOISTURE AND A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS CENTRAL
FLORIDA FROM CAPE CANAVERAL TO METRO ORLANDO AND CLERMONT WILL ALLOW
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INTO
EVENING. STORM MOTION WILL BE TO THE EAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH FROM
AROUND OKEECHOBEE TO THE TREASURE COAST...BUT SLOWER NEAR THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. IN GENERAL...STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF DUMPING ONE
INCH OF RAIN...BUT SLOWER MOVING CELLS NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
COULD PRODUCE OVER 2 INCHES. THIS WOULD AGGRAVATE OR CAUSE
ADDITIONAL LOCATIONS TO EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR WILL REMAIN JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
WITH MINOR FLOODING OCCURRING ALONG THE RIVER. ANY ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINS THAT OCCUR COULD BRING WATER LEVELS TO ACTION STAGE
UPSTREAM TO DELAND AND GENEVA. SHINGLE CREEK AT CAMPBELL IS
CURRENTLY JUST ABOVE ACTION STAGE AND ADDITIONAL RAINS COULD
CONTINUE THE RISE THERE.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
SHOWERS AND STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE MAINLAND
AND MOVING TOWARD THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS
MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 34 KNOTS...ESPECIALLY FROM CAPE
CANAVERAL TO THE TREASURE COAST.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A LINGERING SWELL WILL KEEP THE RIP CURRENT RISK AT MODERATE...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING OUTGOING
TIDE. REMEMBER TO SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD AND NEVER SWIM ALONE IN THE
OCEAN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO LATE WEEK
BEFORE A MORE SUBSTANTIAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY BRINGS DRYING LATE
SATURDAY.  DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER TWO INCHES OR
OBSERVED FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AT
3 2 1 2 5 5 0 2 1 2.

$$

LASCODY/SEDLOCK












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