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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1225 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-230430-
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
1225 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A WEAK SURFACE FRONT OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL PUSH A MOISTURE
BOUNDARY SOUTH OF THE I-4 CORRIDOR. THE EAST AND WEST COAST SEA
BREEZES WILL FORM AHEAD OF THE FRONT...USING THE MOIST AIR TO
PRODUCE SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING
STORMS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS TODAY WILL BE SOUTH OF A LINE
FROM KISSIMMEE TO MELBOURNE. STORM MOTION TODAY WILL BE TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE MID 90S OVER THE INTERIOR...
SOME STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE..RESULTING IN WIND
DAMAGE FROM 50 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL...FREQUENT TO
EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES IN A 60 TO MINUTE TIME FRAME. IF THUNDER IS HEARD...CEASE
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
MARINERS ON INLAND LAKES SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR ISOLATED
STRONG STORMS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF U.S. HIGHWAY 192 FROM
KISSIMMEE TO MELBOURNE. STORM MOTION WILL BE SOUTHEAST AROUND 10
KNOTS. WIND GUSTS ABOVE 35 KNOTS...SMALL HAIL...AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
INCREASINGLY DRY VEGETATION COUPLED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
IN THE 40S OVER THE INTERIOR WILL COMBINE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
SCATTERED AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STORMS TO GENERATE A MODERATE FIRE
DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY SOUTH OF KISSIMMEE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
WHILE SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE IN THE FORECAST THIS WEEKEND...
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL DECREASE AS A STRENGTHENING ONSHORE
BREEZE WILL PRODUCE A WEAKER AND FASTER MOVING EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE WHILE KEEPING AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER.

BOATING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE THIS WEEKEND...
ESPECIALLY OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS...AS A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE BUILDS NORTH OF FLORIDA FRESHENS THE ONSHORE BREEZE WHILE
BUILDING SEAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE
IF NEEDED.

$$

BRAGAW




Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
948 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-221800-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
948 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

.NOW...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS PUSHED INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA THAT WILL
BRING RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE AIR ACROSS THE I-4 CORRIDOR. MOST
AREAS NORTH OF U.S. 192 WILL REMAIN FREE OF RAINFALL THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON.

SOUTH OF U.S. 192...LIGHTER WINDS WILL ALLOW BOTH THE EAST AND WEST
COAST SEA BREEZES TO FORM BY MIDDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM ALONG THEIR BOUNDARIES AS THEY PUSH INLAND.

BY LATE AFTERNOON...THE SEA BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO MERGE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE KISSIMMEE RIVER WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ALONG AND WEST OF THE FLORIDA TURNPIKE. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING...
STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS...AND SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE.

THERE WILL BE A MODERATE RIP CURRENT THREAT ALONG AREA BEACHES TODAY.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$





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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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