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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1146 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-010100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
1146 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIA INTO THIS
EVENING.

HIGH MOISTURE AND AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO SPREAD ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA INTO EVENING.  THE LACK OF AN EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
AND STORM MOTION TO THE EAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WILL LIMIT STORM
INTENSITY AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH INDIVIDUAL CELLS.  HOWEVER THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR HEAVY DOWNPOURS TO REPEAT ACROSS AREAS AND RESULT IN
2 OR 3 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS.  LATEST INDICATIONS SHOW THAT THE
GREATEST CHANCE FOR HEAVY RAINS WILL BE FROM ORLANDO AND CAPE
CANAVERAL SOUTHWARD TO OKEECHOBEE AND THE TREASURE COAST...BUT A
THREAT FOR HEAVY DOWNPOURS STILL EXISTS NORTH OF ORLANDO AND
CANAVERAL ALSO.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST AT 15 TO
20 MPH THROUGH EVENING. LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD
BUT A FEW STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 45 MPH.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
SHOWERS AND STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE MAINLAND
AND MOVING TOWARD THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS
MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 34 KNOTS.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A LINGERING SWELL WILL KEEP THE RIP CURRENT RISK AT MODERATE...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON OUTGOING TIDE. REMEMBER TO SWIM
NEAR A LIFEGUARD AND DO NOT SWIM ALONE.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR WILL REMAIN JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE RIVER. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINS THAT OCCUR COULD BRING WATER LEVELS TO ACTION STAGE UPSTREAM
TO DELAND AND GENEVA...AND ALONG THE SHINGLE CREEK AT CAMPBELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
A STALLING FRONT ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY MAY
ONCE AGAIN BRING THE CHANCE FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE
INTO LATE WEEK BEFORE A MORE SUBSTANTIAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY BRINGS
DRYING LATE IN THE DAY ON SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER TWO INCHES OR
OBSERVED FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AT
3 2 1 2 5 5 0 2 1 2.

$$

LASCODY/VOLKMER










Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
350 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA...

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-010100-
/O.CON.KMLB.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-141001T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE LAND...LEESBURG...ORLANDO...
SANFORD...MELBOURNE...PALM BAY...KISSIMMEE...ST CLOUD...
VERO BEACH...OKEECHOBEE...FORT PIERCE...HOBE SOUND...
DAYTONA BEACH...CLERMONT...TITUSVILLE
350 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...LAKE...
  ORANGE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA...OSCEOLA...BREVARD...
  INDIAN RIVER...ST. LUCIE...MARTIN AND OKEECHOBEE.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* DEEP MOISTURE AND AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW
  NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS EAST
  CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED
  TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES WITH
  SOME LOCATIONS SEEING HIGHER AMOUNTS WHERE STORMS MOVE OVER THE
  SAME AREAS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR FROM LAKE
  AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES SOUTH TO OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTIES INCLUDING
  THE ORLANDO AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
  RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY EVENING AS THE
  FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH TOWARD OSCEOLA AND BREVARD
  COUNTIES. ACROSS OKEECHOBEE COUNTY AND THE TREASURE COAST
  SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE EASTWARD
  TOWARD THE COAST FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY
  EVENING HOURS WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS UP TO TWO TO
  THREE INCHES.

* ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING
  TO ROADWAYS...AND LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. AREAS THAT
  HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST WEEK WILL BE
  ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING SHOULD HEAVY RAIN DEVELOP.
  SMALLER CREEKS AND RIVERS ALREADY AT ELEVATED LEVELS MAY SEE
  RAPID RISES OF WATER WITH ANY HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO THE
  POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS.
THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

&&

$$

VOLKMER






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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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