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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1151 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-312300-
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
1151 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...

A DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW AND HIGH MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO HIGH
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
ESPECIALLY OVER THE INTERIOR AND VOLUSIA COUNTY. SCATTERED STORMS
SHOULD INITIATE ALONG THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE SOUTH OF THE CAPE
THIS AFTERNOON THEN TRANSITIONING INLAND. STORM MOTION WILL BE
TOWARD THE NORTH AROUND 25 MPH AND WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
TODAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL FOCUS ON THE
INTERIOR AND VOLUSIA COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
LOCALLY UP TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. HEAVY
RAIN MAY CREATE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF STREETS...URBAN AREAS...AND
LOW LYING FLOOD PRONE AREAS ESPECIALLY WHERE SHOWERS AND STORMS
MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
WEATHER AND OCEAN CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE A MODERATE RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. ALWAYS SWIM
WITHIN SIGHT OF A LIFEGUARD.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
SCATTERED STORMS WILL MOVE NORTH QUICKLY AROUND 25 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON AND AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR SHORE
ATLANTIC WATERS. A FEW STORMS WILL PRODUCE DOWNBURST WINDS AROUND
35 KNOTS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
SHINGLE CREEK AT CAMPBELL IS ABOVE ACTION STAGE AND JUST BELOW
FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS
THE SHINGLE CREEK BASIN MAY BRING THE CREEK CLOSER TO FLOOD STAGE
THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING AT CAMPBELL.

WHEN SHINGLE CREEK RISES ABOVE ACTION STAGE IN THE CAMPBELL AREA,
WATER BEGINS TO ENCROACH ONTO LAWNS AND LOW LYING STREETS INCLUDING
GOOD SAMARITAN VILLAGE AND THE SHERWOOD FOREST AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING LIGHTNING STORMS
ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS TYPICAL FOR EARLY SEPTEMBER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. RAINFALL OBSERVERS
ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT RAIN AMOUNTS OF THREE INCHES OR GREATER
TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE.


$$

KELLY/VOLKMER




Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1154 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-311900-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
1154 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.NOW...
SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGH A DEEP LAYER AND HIGH ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE
LEVELS WILL ALLOW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE FROM SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY TO VERO BEACH...
PORT SAINT LUCIE AND STUART FROM MID DAY INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING LAKE
COUNTY AND METRO ORLANDO IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE MAIN
THUNDERSTORMS HAZARDS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHNING...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND TWO INCHES AND GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 40
MPH. STORM MOTION WILL BE TOWARD THE NORTH AT 20 TO 25 MPH. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON.


&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$

15





Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
404 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE TODAY...

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-010000-
/O.CON.KMLB.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150901T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-
MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DEBARY...DELAND...DELTONA...EUSTIS...
MOUNT DORA...LEESBURG...TAVARES...APOPKA...MAITLAND...ORLANDO...
WINTER PARK...UNION PARK...ALTAMONTE SPRINGS...CASSELBERRY...
OVIEDO...SANFORD...WINTER SPRINGS....MELBOURNE...PALM BAY...
ROCKLEDGE...CELEBRATION...KISSIMMEE...SAINT CLOUD...SEBASTIAN...
VERO BEACH...BASINGER...FORT DRUM...OKEECHOBEE...
PORT SAINT LUCIE...FORT PIERCE...HOBE SOUND...JENSEN BEACH...
PORT SALERNO...STUART...DAYTONA BEACH...NEW SMYRNA BEACH...
ORMOND BEACH...CLERMONT...MASCOTTE...GROVELAND...COCOA...
TITUSVILLE
404 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...INCLUDING
  BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...LAKE...MARTIN...OKEECHOBEE...
  ORANGE...OSCEOLA...SEMINOLE...SAINT LUCIE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE A
  THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY.
  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL UP TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* HEAVY RAIN MAY CREATE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF STREETS...URBAN
  AREAS...AND LOW LYING FLOOD PRONE AREAS ESPECIALLY WHERE SHOWERS
  AND STORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

KELLY




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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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