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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
413 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2015

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-292015-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-INLAND NASSAU-INLAND DUVAL-UNION-
BRADFORD-CLAY-ST. JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-
COASTAL NASSAU-COASTAL DUVAL-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-
WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-
ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
413 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2015

...TROPICAL STORM ERIKA TO POSSIBLY BRING FLOODING RAINS TO OUR
AREA NEXT WEEK...

...ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AT
AREA BEACHES...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNSET...PARTICULARLY AT INLAND LOCATIONS. A FEW STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH GUSTY WINDS OF 30-50
MPH AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING LOCALIZED FLOODING. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS
EVENING...WITH SCATTERED ACTIVITY POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT IN THE
COASTAL COUNTIES.

ONSHORE WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS WILL CREATE A MODERATE RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE FORECAST TRACK AND STRENGTH OF TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA IS STILL VERY UNCERTAIN INTO NEXT WEEK. INCREASING
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE COASTAL WATERS ALONG WITH AN
ELEVATED THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE COAST. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES MAY BE REQUIRED ON THE COASTAL WATERS BY LATE SUNDAY
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE EXPECTED SLOW MOVEMENT OF ERIKA OR ITS REMNANTS NEAR OR OVER
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NEXT WEEK MAY PRODUCE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS
OVER MUCH OF OUR AREA. THERE IS THE THREAT FOR MAJOR FLOODING
ALONG FAST RISING RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES SUCH AS BLACK CREEK AND
THE UPPER SANTA FE RIVER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO SELF-ACTIVATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IF
WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$

NELSON




Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-
291445-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1036 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 2015

...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK ASSOCIATED WITH T.S
ERIKA...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS T.S ERIKA MAKES
FORWARD PROGRESSION TOWARDS THE LOCAL AREA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. A SLOW MOVING SYSTEM OVER THE LOCAL AREA COULD CREATE MAJOR
FLOODING ISSUES AREA WIDE AS RIVER LEVELS RISE IN RESPONSE.
ERIKAS TRACK AND SPEED WILL GREATLY EFFECT RAINFALL TOTALS OVER
THE AREA AND SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED AS THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST OF THIS SYSTEM.


$$

KG




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