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Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
348 PM MDT FRI OCT 31 2014

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-011000-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RANGELY...DINOSAUR...CRAIG...HAYDEN...
MEEKER...RIO BLANCO...COLUMBINE...TOPONAS...
STEAMBOAT SPRINGS AND VICINITY...GRAND JUNCTION...FRUITA...
PALISADE...RIFLE...SILT...PARACHUTE...MESA...GLENWOOD SPRINGS...
EAGLE...CARBONDALE...SKYWAY...ASPEN...VAIL...SNOWMASS...
CEDAREDGE...DELTA...HOTCHKISS...MONTROSE...CRESTED BUTTE...
TAYLOR PARK...MARBLE...BUFORD...TRAPPERS LAKE...GUNNISON...
CIMARRON...RIDGWAY...GLADE PARK...OURAY...TELLURIDE...LAKE CITY...
SILVERTON...RICO...HESPERUS...GATEWAY...NUCLA...CORTEZ...
DOVE CREEK...MANCOS...DURANGO...BAYFIELD...IGNACIO...
PAGOSA SPRINGS AND VICINITY...BLANDING...BLUFF...MEXICAN HAT...
MANILA...DUTCH JOHN...VERNAL...JENSEN...BALLARD...FORT DUCHESNE...
RANDLETT...MOAB...CASTLE VALLEY...THOMPSON SPRINGS...
MONTICELLO AND VICINITY
348 PM MDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...CHANGING WEATHER THIS WEEKEND WILL BRING WIND AND MOUNTAIN SNOW...

A COLD PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INLAND TONIGHT AND ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN THIS WEEKEND...SPLITTING INTO TWO PARTS AS IT DOES SO.
THIS WILL LEAD TO A VARIETY OF WEATHER THIS WEEKEND...INCLUDING
WIND...VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW AT VARIOUS TIMES THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT.

EXPECT WINDY BUT STILL MILD CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY AS THE MAIN PART
OF THIS STORM SYSTEM REMAINS TO THE WEST. GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE
ANTICIPATED...ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS OF SOUTHEASTERN UTAH AND
NORTHWESTERN COLORADO AND EXPOSED MOUNTAIN AREAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO ARE ALSO EXPECTED.

COLDER AIR ARRIVES LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASING
CHANCE OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW. THE BEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
CURRENTLY EXPECTED OVER THE MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE SOUTHERN
PART OF THE STORM APPROACHES. SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO BETWEEN 7000
AND 8000 FEET WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD AIR. ABOVE 9000 FEET...3
TO 6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
MEASURED IN A FEW LOCATIONS BY MONDAY MORNING.

ON MONDAY...COLDER AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS KEEP A CHANCE OF RAIN OR
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST DURING THE DAY...WITH IMPROVING
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING.

THIS IS A COMPLICATED STORM WITH UNCERTAINTY IN BOTH TIMING AND
PRECIPITATION TYPE...BOTH OF WHICH WILL AFFECT WHERE THE GREATEST
SNOW WILL OCCUR. IF TRAVELING...RECREATING OR HUNTING IN THE
MOUNTAINS THIS WEEKEND...BE SURE TO CHECK THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
645 AM MDT FRI OCT 31 2014

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-011245-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
645 AM MDT FRI OCT 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS OVER SOUTHWEST
COLORADO. OTHERWISE NO OTHER WEATHER HAZARDS IS EXPECTED TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SATURDAY...WINDY SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35
MPH BECOMING COMMON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY...COOLER WITH MOUNTAIN SNOW LIKELY. ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE MOUNTAIN PASSES...ESPECIALLY ON
SUNDAY NIGHT WHERE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW MAY OCCUR. UPWARDS TO 10
INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER RED MOUNTAIN...COAL BANK AND MOLAS PASS IN
SOUTHWEST COLORADO ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$




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