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Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
335 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-282215-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RANGELY...DINOSAUR...CRAIG...HAYDEN...
MEEKER...RIO BLANCO...COLUMBINE...TOPONAS...
STEAMBOAT SPRINGS AND VICINITY...GRAND JUNCTION...FRUITA...
PALISADE...RIFLE...SILT...PARACHUTE...MESA...GLENWOOD SPRINGS...
EAGLE...CARBONDALE...SKYWAY...ASPEN...VAIL...SNOWMASS...
CEDAREDGE...DELTA...HOTCHKISS...MONTROSE...CRESTED BUTTE...
TAYLOR PARK...MARBLE...BUFORD...TRAPPERS LAKE...GUNNISON...
CIMARRON...RIDGWAY...GLADE PARK...OURAY...TELLURIDE...LAKE CITY...
SILVERTON...RICO...HESPERUS...GATEWAY...NUCLA...CORTEZ...
DOVE CREEK...MANCOS...DURANGO...BAYFIELD...IGNACIO...
PAGOSA SPRINGS AND VICINITY...BLANDING...BLUFF...MEXICAN HAT...
MANILA...DUTCH JOHN...VERNAL...JENSEN...BALLARD...FORT DUCHESNE...
RANDLETT...MOAB...CASTLE VALLEY...THOMPSON SPRINGS...
MONTICELLO AND VICINITY
335 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

...HEAVY RAIN FROM SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS EASTERN UTAH
AND WESTERN COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS DEEP
MONSOONAL MOISTURE SPREADS OVER THE AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST UTAH AND SOUTHWEST COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE CHANCE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL INCREASES AND BECOMES
MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A STRONGER DISTURBANCE MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA. STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING SO LOCALIZED
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. NORMALLY DRY WASHES AND CREEK BEDS
COULD FLOW AND CREATE RUNNING WATER ACROSS LOW-LYING ROADS.
LOCALIZED DEBRIS FLOWS OR FALLING ROCKS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN
STEEP TERRAIN AREAS SUSCEPTIBLE TO RUNOFF PROBLEMS.

PLEASE REPORT ANY HEAVY RAIN...FLOODING ISSUES...OR SEVERE WEATHER
ISSUES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...CHECK OUT THE ONLINE WEATHER BRIEFING
AVAILABLE ON OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GJT OR ON OUR
FACEBOOK AND YOUTUBE PAGES.

$$




Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
434 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

COZ009-011-012-014-017>023-UTZ022-028-029-282200-
/O.CON.KGJT.FF.A.0004.140728T1800Z-140729T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-
UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-
CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKYWAY...CEDAREDGE...DELTA...
HOTCHKISS...MONTROSE...CRESTED BUTTE...TAYLOR PARK...MARBLE...
GUNNISON...CIMARRON...RIDGWAY...GLADE PARK...OURAY...TELLURIDE...
LAKE CITY...SILVERTON...RICO...HESPERUS...GATEWAY...NUCLA...
CORTEZ...DOVE CREEK...MANCOS...DURANGO...BAYFIELD...IGNACIO...
PAGOSA SPRINGS AND VICINITY...BLANDING...BLUFF...MEXICAN HAT...
MONTICELLO AND VICINITY
434 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST UTAH...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN COLORADO...ANIMAS RIVER BASIN...CENTRAL
  GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN...FOUR CORNERS/UPPER
  DOLORES RIVER...GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS...NORTHWEST SAN
  JUAN MOUNTAINS...PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER...SAN JUAN
  RIVER BASIN...SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...UNCOMPAHGRE
  PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE...UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY AND
  WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS. IN SOUTHEAST UTAH...
  CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES...LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS AND
  SOUTHEAST UTAH.

* FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE MONDAY DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FROM
  MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND A DISTURBANCE THAT WILL MOVE NORTH OVER
  THE AREA. STORMS WILL ALSO BE SLOW MOVING FURTHER INCREASING
  FLASH FLOODING RISKS.

* DEBRIS AND MUD FLOWS WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY NEAR OLD BURN
  SCARS INCLUDING THE PAPOOSE BURN SCAR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
558 AM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-281200-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
558 AM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXPAND THIS MORNING OVER
SOUTHEAST UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO...BECOMING SCATTERED IN THE
WESTERN COLORADO HIGH COUNTRY. WETTING RAINS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST
MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS. IN THE VALLEYS...BRIEF HEAVY SHOWERS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS OF 30
TO 40 MPH. FREQUENT AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES
WILL ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORMS.

LOCALIZED MUD DEBRIS FLOWS OR FALLING ROCKS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
THOSE AREAS PRONE TO SUCH ACTIVITY...LIKE STEEP TERRAIN. MOST
STORM ACTIVITY WILL DIE DOWN BY MIDNIGHT...BUT ISOLATED STORMS
WILL LINGER THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

EXPECT SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
...PRIMARILY OVER THE MOUNTAINS EACH DAY DURING THE COMING WEEK.
A FEW STORMS WILL DRIFT OFF THE MOUNTAINS LATE IN THE DAY
PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF SHOWERS.

MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE A PARTICULARLY ACTIVE
PERIOD AS A DISTURBANCE OF TROPICAL ORIGIN SWEEPS OVER THE
FORECAST AREA. MOISTURE LEVELS ARE INDICATED TO INCREASE
SIGNIFICANTLY AND AS A RESULT MOST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN. THE STRONGEST STORMS COULD GENERATE
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS POSING AN INCREASED RISK OF FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD/DEBRIS FLOWS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT...HOWEVER
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OR ANY OBSERVED
FLOODING TO THE GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST OFFICE.

$$

TGJT




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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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