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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
654 AM MST TUE JUL 22 2014

AZZ004>018-037>040-230715-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
654 AM MST TUE JUL 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO RETURN TO NORTHERN ARIZONA AS
THE TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST WEAKENS AND MOVES EAST BY
THURSDAY. THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL SIT OVER
WESTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...AND DUE TO THE
CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH...THIS CIRCULATION
WILL TEND TO DRAW DEEPER MOISTURE OVER NORTHERN MEXICO NORTHWARD
INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST OVER THE WHITE MOUNTAINS AND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
MOGOLLON RIM...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ELSEWHERE.
LOCAL THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS FAR NORTH AS FLAGSTAFF
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THEN TO THE GRAND CANYON COUNTRY BY THE
WEEKEND. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT INITIALLY FORM WILL BE
HIGH BASED WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OUTFLOW WINDS...THEN WETTER STORMS WILL REPLACE THE HIGHER BASED
STORMS AS THE MOISTURE PROGRESSES NORTHWESTWARD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$








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