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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
358 PM MST THU FEB 26 2015

AZZ004>018-037>040-270745-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
358 PM MST THU FEB 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

FAIR WEATHER IS FORECAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FEW LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
ARIZONA THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF NORTHERN ARIZONA
WITH S START TIME RANGING FROM SATURDAY MORNING NORTHWEST COCONINO
AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE REST OF NORTHERN ARIZONA. FOR MORE
DETAILS SEE THE WINTER STORM WATCH PRODUCT ON OUR INTERNET PAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.

FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY...A TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES...BRINGING RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION
SNOW TO NORTHERN ARIZONA. SNOW LEVELS DURING THIS TIME ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5000-6000 FEET OVER THE KAIBAB
PLATEAU...6500-7500 FEET AROUND FLAGSTAFF...TO 7000-8000 FEET FOR
THE EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS. LOWER ELEVATION
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-4 INCHES POSSIBLE WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS
OVER THE MOGOLLON RIM...WHITE MOUNTAINS AND GILA COUNTY. SNOWFALL
OF 6-18 INCHES POSSIBLE FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SIGNIFICANT
RISES COULD ALSO OCCUR ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH
OF THE MOGOLLON RIM.

THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE SNOW LEVELS LATE SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY WITH SNOW LEVELS POSSIBLY COMING BACK UP TO 7500FT FROM
PRESCOTT TO THE FOUR CORNERS AREA SOUTHWARD. FLUCTUATING SNOW
LEVELS MAY REDUCE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...A COLDER SYSTEM COULD AFFECT THE
REGION...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION. SNOW
LEVELS COULD BE AS LOW AS 4-5 THOUSAND FEET. ADDITIONAL HEAVY
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FOR LOWER ELEVATION AREAS.

THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A LONG DURATION RAIN AND SNOW EVENT
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA...WITH MAJOR TRAVEL IMPACTS. RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS ARE URGED TO PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE LATEST
FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED FOR SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND SNOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$







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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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