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Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
907 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ032-043>045-055-056-300250-
FAULKNER AR-GRANT AR-JEFFERSON AR-LONOKE AR-PULASKI AR-SALINE AR-
907 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN SALINE...PULASKI...
EXTREME WESTERN LONOKE...NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON...EASTERN GRANT AND
SOUTHWESTERN FAULKNER COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

AT 906 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES WEST OF
HURRICANE LAKE TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF CANE CREEK TO 4 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SHERIDAN...AND MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WEST LITTLE ROCK...   SW LITTLE ROCK...     SHERIDAN...
  N LITTLE ROCK ARPT... NORTH LITTLE ROCK...  MAUMELLE...
  LAKE MAUMELLE...      DOWNTOWN LITTLE ROCK...
  BRYANT...             BENTON...             WRIGHTSVILLE...
  SYLVAN HILLS...       SWEET HOME...         SHANNON HILLS...
  ROLAND...             REDFIELD...           PROTHRO JUNCTION...
  PINNACLE MTN...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 30 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 113 AND 142.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 130 AND 157.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 430 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 12.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 440 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 8.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 530 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 22.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 630 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 7.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN!

LAT...LON 3510 9246 3486 9223 3458 9207 3414 9236
      3439 9248 3459 9271
TIME...MOT...LOC 0207Z 200DEG 34KT 3466 9260 3449 9244
          3428 9235

$$

44









Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
300 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-301000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
300 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE
OKLAHOMA/ARKANSAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. WITH THE AIR MASS REMAINING
MOISTURE CHOKED AND UNSTABLE...SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE. A TORNADO
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN ARKANSAS THROUGH 7 PM.

OTHERWISE...ANOTHER BAND OF HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
THE REGION TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN.
AS SUCH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ROUGHLY THE WESTERN
TWO/THIRDS OF THE STATE. MANY AREA RIVERS REMAIN IN FLOOD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD...AND KEEP THE CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST. FOR THE WEEKEND...AS THE FRONT SAGS
THROUGH THE STATE...AND THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE TROUGH SETS
UP...GOOD CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BE SEEN. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALMOST EACH DAY AND ESPECIALLY WITH THE
COLD FRONT OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED. ALSO...HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT WITH
STORMS...AND FLASH FLOODING COULD OCCUR...AND CURRENT RIVER
FLOODING INCREASED. RAIN CHANCES DO LOWER NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER
SYSTEM MOVES MOVE EAST OF THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. REPORTS OF FLOODING AND
ANY SEVERE STORMS IS REQUESTED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

59/56






Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
245 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Arkansas River At Pine Bluff affecting Jefferson and Lincoln
  Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 18 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC069-079-301045-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-150604T0300Z/
/PBFA4.2.ER.150528T0619Z.150530T0600Z.150602T2100Z.NO/
245 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River At Pine Bluff.
* until Wednesday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 2:00 PM Friday the stage was 44.3 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 44.6 feet by
  early Saturday. Flows are over 300,000 CFS and are expected to remain high
  into next week. Additional rainfall is in the forecast for this weekend.
  Please monitor latest forecasts for any updates.
* Impacts at 43.0 feet...Island Harbour Estates Road is impassible, access
  by boat only to Island Harbour homes.
* Impacts at 44.0 feet...Trulock Residential Addition upstream of U.S.
  Highway 79 Business Bridge is affected.
* This flood crest is 1.5 feet higher than the flood crest of 43.15 feet
  which occurred a few weeks ago and half a foot higher than the flood
  of October 1986 when the river rose to 44.0 feet.

&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Arkansas River
  Pine Bluff  42  44.3 Fri 02 PM   44.6   44.3   43.5   42.6   40.9


&&


LAT...LON 3397 9146 3409 9173 3430 9213 3434 9199
 3420 9168 3408 9139



$$





Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
219 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ016-024-032-033-044-045-055-056-062-063-066-067-301200-
/O.EXA.KLZK.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-150531T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CALHOUN-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-DALLAS-FAULKNER-GRANT-INDEPENDENCE-
JEFFERSON-LONOKE-OUACHITA-PULASKI-WHITE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTHEIMER...BATESVILLE...BEARDEN...
BEEBE...CABOT...CAMDEN...CHIDESTER...CONWAY...DRASCO...EL PASO...
ENGLAND...FORDYCE...GEORGETOWN...GREENBRIER...GREERS FERRY...
HAMPTON...HEBER SPRINGS...HUMNOKE...HUMPHREY...JACKSONVILLE...
KINGSLAND...LEOLA...LITTLE ROCK...LONOKE...MAUMELLE...MAYFLOWER...
NORTH LITTLE ROCK...OIL TROUGH...PINE BLUFF...PLEASANT PLAINS...
POYEN...PRATTSVILLE...REDFIELD...RISON...ROSE BUD...SEARCY...
SHERIDAN...SHERWOOD...STEPHENS...THORNTON...VILONIA...
WRIGHTSVILLE
219 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHWEST
  ARKANSAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL
  ARKANSAS...FAULKNER...GRANT...LONOKE...PULASKI AND WHITE. IN
  NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...CLEBURNE AND INDEPENDENCE. IN
  SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...CLEVELAND AND JEFFERSON. IN SOUTHWEST
  ARKANSAS...CALHOUN...DALLAS AND OUACHITA.

* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF ARKANSAS TONIGHT THROUGH
  SATURDAY...BRINGING ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS TO MUCH OF THE STATE.
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
  BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
  WHILE NOT EXCEPTIONALLY HIGH...THESE RAINS WILL FALL ON ALREADY
  SATURATED SOIL...INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD OF FLASH FLOODING.

* IN ADDITION...AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE ALREADY FLOODING OR
  NEAR BANK FULL. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL NOT BE ABLE TO
  DRAIN INTO WATERWAYS...INCREASING THE THREAT FOR FLASH
  FLOODING. THIS IS OF GREATEST CONCERN IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
  AREAS...INCLUDING THE OUACHITA AND OZARK MOUNTAIN REGIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$



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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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