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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
351 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-031100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
351 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WITH A WARM FRONT SOUTH OF ARKANSAS...LIGHT RAIN AND PATCHY FOG ARE
EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE FOG COULD PROVIDE SOME DRIVING CHALLENGES
TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY ON TUESDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHES ARKANSAS. AT THIS TIME...THE THREAT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS MINIMAL.

CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN A ROUND OF WINTER WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT

THE STRONG ARCTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE...MOST
LIKELY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP SHARPLY BEHIND THE FRONT. MOST AREAS WILL START OUT IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S TUESDAY EVENING. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...HOWEVER...
THE FAR NORTH SHOULD FALL BELOW FREEZING. THE CENTRAL PORTION SHOULD
BE BELOW FREEZING AROUND MID-DAY OR EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA FALLING BELOW FREEZING BY LATE AFTERNOON OR
EARLY EVENING.

MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM IS MAINLY POST-FRONTAL...WITH
PRECIPITATION INCREASING IN COVERAGE AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD MAKE A FAIRLY RAPID TRANSITION TO SLEET THEN
SNOW IN THE NORTH DURING THE MORNING HOURS...AND IN THE CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE STATE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. PRECIPITATION WILL
LIKELY MAKE A SLOWER TRANSITION IN THE SOUTH...MOST LIKELY AROUND
LATE AFTERNOON OR THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

THIS WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MEASURABLE SNOWFALL IN ALL
AREAS...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE STATE. AT THIS POINT...IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS COULD EXCEED FOUR INCHES.

THERE COULD BE A VERY BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AS PRECIPITATION
TRANSITIONS...AT LEAST IN THE NORTH AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE
STATE. IF ANY FREEZING RAIN DOES OCCUR...AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT GIVEN THE RAPID TRANSITION OF PRECIPITATION OVER TO SLEET
AND SNOW.

PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...WITH COLD TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING. IT IS QUITE LIKELY THAT AREAS WITH THE THICKEST SNOW
PACK COULD STAY BELOW FREEZING ON THURSDAY. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE
TEENS IN MUCH OF THE STATE.

PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THAT THIS INFORMATION IS BASED ON THE LATEST
MODEL DATA. BEING THAT THE EXPECTED EVENT IS STILL A COUPLE OF DAYS
OUT...THE FORECAST IS LIKELY TO CHANGE TO A CERTAIN DEGREE.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THIS POTENTIAL WINTER WEATHER SITUATION...AND PROVIDE
DETAILED AND UPDATED FORECASTS ACCORDINGLY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

57/51









Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
202 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015

...A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE STATE FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

..A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING RAPIDLY BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. WINTRY
PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY MORNING
ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS...AND WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTH
THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO A PERIOD OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN...THEN TRANSITION TO SNOW. SOME LOCATIONS OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS MAY SEE ICE AMOUNTS AROUND A TENTH
OR TWO...BUT AT THIS TIME...THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION
WILL FALL AS SNOW WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY. HIGHEST
SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...WITH AMOUNTS DECREASING TO THE WEST. THESE AMOUNTS
OF SNOW WILL LIKELY CAUSE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

ARZ052>057-062>069-031000-
/O.CON.KLZK.WS.A.0004.150305T0000Z-150305T1200Z/
ARKANSAS-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEVELAND-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-GRANT-
HOT SPRING-JEFFERSON-LINCOLN-OUACHITA-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARKADELPHIA...CAMDEN...DE WITT...
DUMAS...FORDYCE...GLENWOOD...GOULD...HAMPTON...MALVERN...
MCGEHEE...MONTICELLO...MURFREESBORO...PINE BLUFF...SHERIDAN...
STAR CITY...STUTTGART...THORNTON...WARREN
202 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* EVENT...SLEET AND SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE STATE FROM NORTH
  TO SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY. WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL INITIALLY START
  AS FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SNOW.
  FREEZING PRECIPITATION WILL BE AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH TO A
  FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. SNOW
  AMOUNTS WILL BE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* AREAS AFFECTED...LOCATIONS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM GLENWOOD...TO
  STUTTGART.

* TIMING...A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET WILL BEGIN BY WEDNESDAY
  EVENING AND QUICKLY TRANSITION TO SNOW BEFORE MIDNIGHT...WITH
  SNOW CONTINUING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL LIKELY CAUSE TRAVEL ISSUES ON
  AREA ROADWAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

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