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2 products issued by NWS for:

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
501 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-281000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
501 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TODAY AND TONIGHT...AS WEAKER UPPER LEVEL ENERGY MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION. AFTERNOON HEATING AND A MOIST ATMOSPHERE WILL ALSO HELP IN
THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE CONVECTION. ONLY AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...WITH STRONG WINDS AND HAIL THE MAIN
THREATS. AREA RIVER FLOODING DOES CONTINUE ACROSS ARKANSAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD...AND KEEP THE CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL SEE LOWER
OVERALL CHANCES OF CONVECTION. THEN FRIDAY NIGHT AND OVER THE
WEEKEND...BETTER CHANCES FOR CONVECTION GO UP WITH A STORM SYSTEM
AND COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT EACH AFTERNOON...BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. A BIT BETTER CHANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE WITH THE SYSTEM OVER THE WEEKEND. ALSO...HEAVY RAIN
WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT WITH STORMS...AND FLASH FLOODING
COULD OCCUR...AND RIVER FLOODING INCREASED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

59





Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
244 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Arkansas River At Dardanelle affecting Pope and Yell Counties

  Arkansas River At Morrilton affecting Conway and Perry Counties

  Arkansas River At Toad Suck Lock And Dam Tailwater affecting
  Faulkner and Perry Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC045-105-272243-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TODA4.2.ER.150527T0116Z.150528T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
244 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River At Toad Suck Lock And Dam Tailwater.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 275.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 275.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 278.4 feet by
  Thursday afternoon.
* Impacts at 278.0 feet...Lollie Community affected. Additional farmlands
  in Faulkner County flooded by backwater up Palarm Creek and Tupelo Bayou.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Arkansas River
  Toad Suck   275 275.8 Wed 02 AM  276.7  278.2  278.1  277.3  276.3


&&


LAT...LON 3483 9247 3495 9262 3504 9261 3511 9251
 3501 9248 3492 9238

$$





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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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