weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

3 products issued by NWS for:

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
300 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-301000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
300 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE
OKLAHOMA/ARKANSAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. WITH THE AIR MASS REMAINING
MOISTURE CHOKED AND UNSTABLE...SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE. A TORNADO
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN ARKANSAS THROUGH 7 PM.

OTHERWISE...ANOTHER BAND OF HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
THE REGION TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN.
AS SUCH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ROUGHLY THE WESTERN
TWO/THIRDS OF THE STATE. MANY AREA RIVERS REMAIN IN FLOOD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD...AND KEEP THE CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST. FOR THE WEEKEND...AS THE FRONT SAGS
THROUGH THE STATE...AND THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE TROUGH SETS
UP...GOOD CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BE SEEN. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALMOST EACH DAY AND ESPECIALLY WITH THE
COLD FRONT OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED. ALSO...HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT WITH
STORMS...AND FLASH FLOODING COULD OCCUR...AND CURRENT RIVER
FLOODING INCREASED. RAIN CHANCES DO LOWER NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER
SYSTEM MOVES MOVE EAST OF THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. REPORTS OF FLOODING AND
ANY SEVERE STORMS IS REQUESTED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

59/56






Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
945 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Arkansas River At Dardanelle affecting Pope and Yell Counties

  Arkansas River At Morrilton affecting Conway and Perry Counties

  Arkansas River At Toad Suck Lock And Dam Tailwater affecting
  Faulkner and Perry Counties

  Arkansas River At Pine Bluff affecting Jefferson and Lincoln
  Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 12 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC045-105-301744-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TODA4.3.ER.150527T0116Z.150602T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
945 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Arkansas River At Toad Suck Lock And Dam Tailwater.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* There is no current observed data. Estimated stage was 280 feet at 12:00 PM.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 280.0 feet later today.
  Flows are estimated to be well over 300,000 CFS and are expected to remain
  high through the remainder of the week.
* Impacts at 279.0 feet...More farmland in Perry County flooded from backwaters
  up the Fourche La Fave River. Parking lot of the Lock and Dam flooded and
  water over lock walls.
* Impacts at 280.0 feet...Portions of the Treasure Hills Subdivision north
  of Conway may be flooded from backwaters of East Cadron Creek. Several roads
  west of Mayflower including Jones Lane, Easterwood Point, Sand Gap, Raney
  Pavillion, and Windsong Way will be inundated.
* This flood crest is forecasted to be comparable to the flood of March 2008
  when the river crested around 278.80 feet.

* Flood stage is 275.0 feet.
* Impact...at 280.0 feet...Portions of the Treasure Hills Subdivision
  north of Conway may be flooded from backwaters of East Cadron
  Creek. Several roads west of Mayflower including Jones Lane,
  Easterwood Point, Sand Gap, Raney   Pavillion, and Windsong Way
  will be inundated.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Arkansas River
  Toad Suck   275 280.01 Fri 12 PM 279.8  279.8  279.9  280.2  280.1


&&


LAT...LON 3483 9247 3495 9262 3504 9261 3511 9251
 3501 9248 3492 9238



$$



Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
219 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ016-024-032-033-044-045-055-056-062-063-066-067-301200-
/O.EXA.KLZK.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-150531T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CALHOUN-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-DALLAS-FAULKNER-GRANT-INDEPENDENCE-
JEFFERSON-LONOKE-OUACHITA-PULASKI-WHITE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTHEIMER...BATESVILLE...BEARDEN...
BEEBE...CABOT...CAMDEN...CHIDESTER...CONWAY...DRASCO...EL PASO...
ENGLAND...FORDYCE...GEORGETOWN...GREENBRIER...GREERS FERRY...
HAMPTON...HEBER SPRINGS...HUMNOKE...HUMPHREY...JACKSONVILLE...
KINGSLAND...LEOLA...LITTLE ROCK...LONOKE...MAUMELLE...MAYFLOWER...
NORTH LITTLE ROCK...OIL TROUGH...PINE BLUFF...PLEASANT PLAINS...
POYEN...PRATTSVILLE...REDFIELD...RISON...ROSE BUD...SEARCY...
SHERIDAN...SHERWOOD...STEPHENS...THORNTON...VILONIA...
WRIGHTSVILLE
219 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHWEST
  ARKANSAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL
  ARKANSAS...FAULKNER...GRANT...LONOKE...PULASKI AND WHITE. IN
  NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...CLEBURNE AND INDEPENDENCE. IN
  SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...CLEVELAND AND JEFFERSON. IN SOUTHWEST
  ARKANSAS...CALHOUN...DALLAS AND OUACHITA.

* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF ARKANSAS TONIGHT THROUGH
  SATURDAY...BRINGING ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS TO MUCH OF THE STATE.
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
  BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
  WHILE NOT EXCEPTIONALLY HIGH...THESE RAINS WILL FALL ON ALREADY
  SATURATED SOIL...INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD OF FLASH FLOODING.

* IN ADDITION...AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE ALREADY FLOODING OR
  NEAR BANK FULL. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL NOT BE ABLE TO
  DRAIN INTO WATERWAYS...INCREASING THE THREAT FOR FLASH
  FLOODING. THIS IS OF GREATEST CONCERN IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
  AREAS...INCLUDING THE OUACHITA AND OZARK MOUNTAIN REGIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$



U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE