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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
545 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-261000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
545 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE NATURAL STATE
THROUGH TONIGHT.

ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT THE
STATE FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...BRINGING A NEW
ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES THE PRIMARY THREATS.

DUE TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL...IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING...AS WELL AS INCREASE THE LEVELS OF
AREA RIVERS. ARKANSANS ARE REMINDED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
THE NEXT FEW DAYS CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE. A
FEW STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS WELL EACH
AFTERNOON...BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

44






Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
504 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Arkansas River At Dardanelle affecting Pope and Yell Counties

  Arkansas River At Morrilton affecting Conway and Perry Counties

  Arkansas River At Toad Suck Lock And Dam Tailwater affecting
  Faulkner and Perry Counties

  Arkansas River At Pine Bluff affecting Jefferson and Lincoln
  Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 18 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC115-149-260104-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0066.150526T0642Z-000000T0000Z/
/DARA4.2.ER.150526T0642Z.150527T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
504 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River At Dardanelle.
* from late tonight until further notice...Or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  4:00 AM Monday the stage was 25.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Tuesday morning and
  continue to rise to near 36.5 feet by Wednesday morning.
  Heavy rainfall could occur in the next 24 hours and this
  forecast will likely change. Please monitor the river forecasts
  from the National Weather Service in Little Rock closely over
  the next few days.
* Impacts at 36.0 feet...Moderate flood conditions expected with
  numerous roads and highways affected, backwater up Petit Jean River
  floods State Highway 154. Carden Bottoms and Holla Bend National
  Wildlife Refuge flooded.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Arkansas River
  Dardanelle  32  25.8 Mon 04 AM   26.2   33.5   36.5   34.9   32.8


&&


LAT...LON 3508 9278 3507 9305 3522 9321 3528 9310
 3519 9303 3520 9280



$$



Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
359 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-260000-
/O.CON.KLZK.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-150526T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTHEIMER...AMITY...ARKADELPHIA...
ARKANSAS CITY...ASH FLAT...AUGUSTA...AVILLA...BATESVILLE...
BAUXITE...BEARDEN...BEE BRANCH...BEEBE...BENTON...BISMARCK...
BONNERDALE...BOONEVILLE...BRINKLEY...BRYANT...BULL SHOALS...
CABOT...CALICO ROCK...CAMDEN...CAVE CITY...CENTER RIDGE...
CHIDESTER...CLARENDON...CLARKSVILLE...CLINTON...CONWAY...
COTTON PLANT...DANVILLE...DARDANELLE...DE VALLS BLUFF...DE WITT...
DEER...DES ARC...DONALDSON...DRASCO...DUMAS...EL PASO...ENGLAND...
FAIRFIELD BAY...FLIPPIN...FORDYCE...FOURCHE JUNCTION...
GASSVILLE...GEORGETOWN...GILLETT...GLENWOOD...GOULD...GRADY...
GRAVELLY...GREENBRIER...GREERS FERRY...GURDON...HAMPTON...HARDY...
HARRISON...HASKELL...HAZEN...HEBER SPRINGS...HECTOR...HERMITAGE...
HORSESHOE BEND...HOT SPRINGS...HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE...HOUSTON...
HUMNOKE...HUMPHREY...JACKSONVILLE...JASPER...JESSIEVILLE...
KINGSLAND...LACEY...LEAD HILL...LEOLA...LESLIE...LITTLE ROCK...
LONOKE...MALVERN...MAMMOTH SPRING...MARSHALL...MAUMELLE...
MAYFLOWER...MCCRORY...MCGEHEE...MELBOURNE...MENA...MONTICELLO...
MORO BAY...MORRILTON...MOUNT IDA...MOUNT MAGAZINE...
MOUNTAIN HOME...MOUNTAIN VIEW...MURFREESBORO...NEWPORT...
NORFORK...NORMAN...NORTH LITTLE ROCK...OIL TROUGH...OKOLONA...
OLA...OMAHA...OXFORD...OZONE...PARIS...PARON...PELSOR...
PERRYVILLE...PINE BLUFF...PINE RIDGE...PLEASANT PLAINS...POYEN...
PRATTSVILLE...REDFIELD...RISON...ROHWER...ROSE BUD...
RUSSELLVILLE...SALEM...SEARCY...SHERIDAN...SHERWOOD...STAR CITY...
STEPHENS...STUTTGART...SUMMIT...SWIFTON...THORNTON...TUCKERMAN...
VILONIA...VIOLA...WALDRON...WARREN...WESTERN GROVE...WICKES...
WRIGHTSVILLE...Y CITY...YELLVILLE
359 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ARKANSAS...EASTERN ARKANSAS...NORTH
  CENTRAL ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
  WESTERN ARKANSAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL
  ARKANSAS...CONWAY...FAULKNER...GARLAND...GRANT...LONOKE...
  PERRY...POPE...PRAIRIE...PULASKI...SALINE...WHITE AND YELL. IN
  EASTERN ARKANSAS...JACKSON...MONROE AND WOODRUFF. IN NORTH
  CENTRAL ARKANSAS...BAXTER...BOONE...CLEBURNE...FULTON...
  INDEPENDENCE...IZARD...MARION...NEWTON...SEARCY...SHARP...
  STONE AND VAN BUREN. IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...ARKANSAS...
  BRADLEY...CLEVELAND...DESHA...DREW...JEFFERSON AND LINCOLN. IN
  SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...CALHOUN...CLARK...DALLAS...HOT SPRING...
  OUACHITA AND PIKE. IN WESTERN ARKANSAS...JOHNSON...LOGAN...
  MONTGOMERY...POLK AND SCOTT.

* THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

* THERE WILL SMALLER RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE REGION FOR MEMORIAL
  DAY...BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL MOVES INTO THE
  STATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THE SECOND ROUND OF RAINFALL IS
  EXPECTED TO BRING WIDESPREAD 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE MAJORITY OF THE RAINFALL WILL FALL IN A
  VERY SHORT TIME FRAME...WITH RUN OFF LIKELY.

* THE SOIL ACROSS MUCH OF ARKANSAS REMAINS SATURATED FROM THE
  HEAVY RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED DURING THE MONTH OF MAY. MANY
  RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE STILL AT UNSEASONABLY HIGH LEVELS...
  WITH ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL ONLY INCREASING THE
  POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.


$$








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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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