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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
300 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-301000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
300 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE
OKLAHOMA/ARKANSAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. WITH THE AIR MASS REMAINING
MOISTURE CHOKED AND UNSTABLE...SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE. A TORNADO
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN ARKANSAS THROUGH 7 PM.

OTHERWISE...ANOTHER BAND OF HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
THE REGION TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN.
AS SUCH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ROUGHLY THE WESTERN
TWO/THIRDS OF THE STATE. MANY AREA RIVERS REMAIN IN FLOOD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD...AND KEEP THE CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST. FOR THE WEEKEND...AS THE FRONT SAGS
THROUGH THE STATE...AND THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE TROUGH SETS
UP...GOOD CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BE SEEN. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALMOST EACH DAY AND ESPECIALLY WITH THE
COLD FRONT OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED. ALSO...HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT WITH
STORMS...AND FLASH FLOODING COULD OCCUR...AND CURRENT RIVER
FLOODING INCREASED. RAIN CHANCES DO LOWER NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER
SYSTEM MOVES MOVE EAST OF THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. REPORTS OF FLOODING AND
ANY SEVERE STORMS IS REQUESTED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

59/56






Severe Thunderstorm Warning

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ARC029-105-115-119-125-149-300100-
/O.NEW.KLZK.SV.W.0219.150530T0021Z-150530T0100Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
721 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN CONWAY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  PERRY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  SOUTHERN POPE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  NORTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  NORTHWESTERN SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  NORTHEASTERN YELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 800 PM CDT

* AT 720 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM NIMROD LAKE TO LONG MTN TO LAKE SYLVIA TO 6 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF LAKE NORRELL...AND MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
           ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RUSSELLVILLE...       PERRYVILLE...         MORRILTON...
  WILLIAMS JUNCTION...  TARAL...              ST. VINCENT...
  SOLGOHACHIA...        SEQUOYA PARK...       POTTSVILLE...
  PETIT JEAN STATE PARK...                    PETIT JEAN MTN...
  PERRY...              OPPELO...             MENIFEE...
  LONG MTN...           LAKE WINONA...        LAKE SYLVIA...
  LAKE ATKINS...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 79 AND 117.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3540 9319 3538 9285 3532 9271 3520 9254
      3469 9271 3477 9282 3483 9294 3488 9319
TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 187DEG 41KT 3495 9314 3492 9291
          3488 9280 3479 9273

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

44









Severe Thunderstorm Watch

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 241
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 241 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ARC005-009-011-013-019-023-025-029-039-045-051-053-059-089-101-
103-105-115-119-125-129-137-141-300300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0241.150529T2330Z-150530T0300Z/

AR
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAXTER               BOONE               BRADLEY
CALHOUN              CLARK               CLEBURNE
CLEVELAND            CONWAY              DALLAS
FAULKNER             GARLAND             GRANT
HOT SPRING           MARION              NEWTON
OUACHITA             PERRY               POPE
PULASKI              SALINE              SEARCY
STONE                VAN BUREN
$$


ATTN...WFO...LZK...







Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
236 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Arkansas River At Dardanelle affecting Pope and Yell Counties

  Arkansas River At Morrilton affecting Conway and Perry Counties

  Arkansas River At Toad Suck Lock And Dam Tailwater affecting
  Faulkner and Perry Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 18 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC115-149-301036-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-150602T0600Z/
/DARA4.2.ER.150526T0746Z.150528T1500Z.150601T0000Z.NO/
236 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Arkansas River At Dardanelle.
* until late Monday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:00 PM Friday the stage was 36.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to near 34.9 feet by
  Saturday morning. Flows are well over 300,000 CFS and
  will remain high through the weekend. Additional rainfall is in
  the forecast for this weekend. Please monitor latest forecasts for
  any updates.
* Impacts at 36.0 feet...Moderate flood conditions expected with
  numerous roads and highways affected, backwater up Petit Jean River
  floods State Highway 154. Carden Bottoms and Holla Bend National
  Wildlife Refuge flooded.


&&


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 7 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Arkansas River
  Dardanelle  32  36.0 Fri 01 PM   34.9   33.5   30.0   26.7   25.1


&&


LAT...LON 3508 9278 3507 9305 3522 9321 3528 9310
 3519 9303 3520 9280



$$



Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
219 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ003>007-012>015-021>023-030-031-037>043-052>054-301200-
/O.CON.KLZK.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-150531T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAXTER-BOONE-CLARK-CONWAY-FULTON-GARLAND-HOT SPRING-IZARD-JOHNSON-
LOGAN-MARION-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-SALINE-SCOTT-
SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-YELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AMITY...ARKADELPHIA...ASH FLAT...
AVILLA...BAUXITE...BEE BRANCH...BENTON...BISMARCK...BONNERDALE...
BOONEVILLE...BRYANT...BULL SHOALS...CALICO ROCK...CAVE CITY...
CENTER RIDGE...CLARKSVILLE...CLINTON...DANVILLE...DARDANELLE...
DEER...DONALDSON...FAIRFIELD BAY...FLIPPIN...FOURCHE JUNCTION...
GASSVILLE...GLENWOOD...GRAVELLY...GURDON...HARDY...HARRISON...
HASKELL...HECTOR...HORSESHOE BEND...HOT SPRINGS...
HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE...HOUSTON...JASPER...JESSIEVILLE...
LEAD HILL...LESLIE...MALVERN...MAMMOTH SPRING...MARSHALL...
MELBOURNE...MENA...MORRILTON...MOUNT IDA...MOUNT MAGAZINE...
MOUNTAIN HOME...MOUNTAIN VIEW...MURFREESBORO...NORFORK...NORMAN...
OKOLONA...OLA...OMAHA...OXFORD...OZONE...PARIS...PARON...PELSOR...
PERRYVILLE...PINE RIDGE...RUSSELLVILLE...SALEM...SUMMIT...VIOLA...
WALDRON...WESTERN GROVE...WICKES...Y CITY...YELLVILLE
219 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...CONWAY...GARLAND...
  PERRY...POPE...SALINE AND YELL. IN NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  BAXTER...BOONE...FULTON...IZARD...MARION...NEWTON...SEARCY...
  SHARP...STONE AND VAN BUREN. IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...CLARK...
  HOT SPRING AND PIKE. IN WESTERN ARKANSAS...JOHNSON...LOGAN...
  MONTGOMERY...POLK AND SCOTT.

* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF ARKANSAS TONIGHT THROUGH
  SATURDAY...BRINGING ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS TO MUCH OF THE STATE.
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
  BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
  WHILE NOT EXCEPTIONALLY HIGH...THESE RAINS WILL FALL ON ALREADY
  SATURATED SOIL...INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD OF FLASH FLOODING.

* IN ADDITION...AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE ALREADY FLOODING OR
  NEAR BANK FULL. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL NOT BE ABLE TO
  DRAIN INTO WATERWAYS...INCREASING THE THREAT FOR FLASH
  FLOODING. THIS IS OF GREATEST CONCERN IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
  AREAS...INCLUDING THE OUACHITA AND OZARK MOUNTAIN REGIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$










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NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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