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One product issued by NWS for: Rogers AR

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
507 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
507 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...PRIMARILY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA NEAR A WEAK WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME STRONGLY UNSTABLE ALONG THIS SAME ZONE
WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS.  FORCING
WILL REMAIN WEAK ACROSS THE REGION...HOWEVER STORMS WHICH
ARE ABLE TO PERSIST WILL LIKELY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR BOTH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  THE
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING
HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN BOTH INTENSITY AND COVERAGE
OF STORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

WARM AND RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS AREAS
OF NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL
SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID WILDFIRE SPREAD.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
STRONG INSTABILITY WILL AGAIN DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND SUPPORT
A LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE STORMS...HOWEVER LESSER WIND
SHEAR WILL LOWER THE MAGNITUDE OF ANY POTENTIAL SEVERE
WEATHER.  A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE
PLAINS LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE REGION.  STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT WITH CONDITIONS SUPPORTIVE
OF SEVERE WEATHER.  A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY AND COOLER
CONDITIONS RETURN FOR SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...WITH THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES RETURNING LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







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