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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...LATE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...MAINLY EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN STILLWATER AND TULSA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AND DEVELOP SOUTHEAST INTO
EASTERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. INSTABILITY AND SHEAR ARE
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

A LIMITED TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST AS WELL...ESPECIALLY WITH ANY
STORM THAT INTERACTS WITH THE WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY CURRENTLY
DRAPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ALONG THE DRY LINE WELL TO OUR
WEST MAY EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA LATER TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN HIGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...SUPPORTING
PERIODIC CHANCES FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER. HOWEVER...THE
FOCUS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN WEST AND
NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY...RAISING THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
950 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-250415-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-
MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-
MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...GROVE...JAY...SAPULPA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...
CHECOTAH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
950 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

.NOW...
AT 9:47 PM... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED AN
EASTWARD MOVING LINE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVING
CROSSED THE ARKANSAS BORDER FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA. A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS HAD DEVELOPED ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WAS RAPIDLY
APPROACHING THE EASTERN PART OF THE STATE.

THROUGH 11:15 PM... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO RACE NORTHEAST INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA
FROM THE CENTRAL PART OF THE STATE. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

$$




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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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