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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
840 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
840 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING....DIMINISHING AROUND MIDNIGHT.


THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
A FEW AREAS OF RAIN...ALONG WITH ISOLATED THUNDER CONTINUE THIS
EVENING. THE HEAVIER RAIN HAS SHIFTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
...WHERE A LIMITED THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL BE IN PLACE IN
THAT AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL...
         HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AGAIN FROM LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA. THIS FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE BY MID WEEK.
A STRENGTHENING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TOWARD THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART
OF THE WEEK WILL BRING A RETURN OF HOT WEATHER TO THE REGION.
EXPECT HIGHS WELL INTO THE 90S...WITH A FEW SPOTS NEAR THE CENTURY
MARK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
748 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-020230-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...GROVE...JAY...SAPULPA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...
CHECOTAH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
748 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.NOW...

AT 7:48 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. A FEW STRONGER STORMS WERE
LOCATED OVER FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AS WELL AS OVER MUCH OF LE
FLORE AND HASKELL COUNTY. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING SLOWLY
TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST...AROUND 20 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 9:30 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH
THE MAIN THREAT BEING STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS. THE STORMS WILL ALSO
PRODUCE INTENSE LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL. WITH THE SLOW
MOVEMENT...THE HEAVY RAIN COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES.

$$

16




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