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315
AGAK78 PACR 292251
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT FRI AUG 29 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE CLOSED LOW JUST NORTH OF NORTHWEST ALASKA WILL BE NEARLY
STATIONARY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE UPPER TROUGH AXIS IS ALONG THE
PANHANDLE OF ALASKA. ANOTHER TROUGH IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE
BERING SEA. THIS SECOND TROUGH WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE GULF OF
ALASKA OVER THE WEEKEND AND BE OVER THE PANHANDLE BY SUNDAY EVENING.
A THIRD TROUGH WILL BE ENTERING THE GULF OF ALASKA BY THIS TIME.
EACH OF THESE TROUGHS WILL HAVE AN ASSOCIATED WEAK SURFACE LOW.

THE GREATEST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FOR TODAY WILL BE OVER THE
PANHANDLE AND THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF MAINLAND ALASKA. UP TO 2
INCHES OF LOCALIZED RAIN IS POSSIBLE. APPROXIMATED THE SAME
LOCATIONS FOR SATURDAY... BUT LESSER AMOUNTS... UP TO AN INCH
POSSIBLE. ALSO LIGHT RAIN/SNOW WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST ALASKA. FOR
SUNDAY... THE PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE RAIN...UP TO A HALF
INCH. WEST CENTRAL ALASKA WILL ALSO SEE UP TO A HALF INCH OF RAIN
DURING THE DAY SUNDAY.

FREEZING LEVELS OVER THE MAINLAND RANGED FROM 5000 TO 7000 FEET WITH
SLIGHTLY HIGHER VALUES OVER THE PANHANDLE AND ALEUTIANS. THE
EXCEPTION IS NORTHWEST ALASKA... WHERE THEY RANGED FROM 1000-3000
FEET. SUNDAY`S FREEZING LEVELS OVER ALL OF NORTHERN ALASKA WILL DIP
TO THE 1000 TO 3000 FOOT LEVEL. THE REST OF ALASKA WILL RANGE FROM
THE 4000 TO 7000 FOOT LEVEL.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
MCPA2    MCARTHUR PASS        PC RG :  2.92
PEDA2    PEDERSEN LAGOON      PC RG :  1.73
EYKA2    MT EYAK              PC RM :  1.30
BGLA2    BERING GLACIER RAWS  PP RG :  1.24
ATGA2    ATIGUN PASS SNOTEL   PC RM :  1.10
PAYA     YAKUTAT              PP RZ :  1.06
WLVA2    WOLVERINE GLACIER    PC R2 :  0.96
BLSA2    BENTALIT LODGE       PC RG :  0.96
UNRA2    UPPER NUKA RIVER NR  PC RG :  0.95
MFBA2    MIDDLE FORK BRADLEY  PC RM :  0.90
TMLA2    TWELVE MILE LAKE     PC RP :  0.80
SWNA2    SWANSON RIVER RAWS   PC RG :  0.80
SUVA2    SUSITNA VALLEY HIGH  PC RM :  0.80
NUKA2    NUKA GLACIER SNOTEL  PC RM :  0.80
WOWA2    WILLOW RAWS          PC RG :  0.79
PMNA2    GALENA RAWS          PC RG :  0.79
EYLA2    EYAK LAKE            PP RZ :  0.79
SDFA2    SOLDOTNA RAWS        PC RG :  0.77
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PC RG :  0.76
WLCA2    WOLVERINE CREEK      PC RG :  0.74
EVCA2    EIELSON VISITORS     PP RG :  0.71
TKVA2    TOKOSITNA VALLEY     PC RM :  0.70
PATO     PORTAGE GLACIER      PP RZ :  0.70
LRCA2    LITTLE RABBIT CREEK  PC RP :  0.70
COFA2    COLDFOOT SNOTEL      PC RM :  0.70
PAFC     ANCHORAGE NWS        PP RZ :  0.68
PAEN     KENAI                PP RZ :  0.68
PMZA2    POINT MAC RAWS       PC RG :  0.64
NCKA2    NINILCHIK RAWS       PC RG :  0.62
CHMA2    CHIMNEY LAKE         PP RG :  0.62
ACR      ALASKA PACIFIC RFC   PC RP :  0.62

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR NORTHEAST ALASKA. THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE
HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR MUCH OF THE STATE. THE EXCEPTION IS
FAR SOUTHEAST... WHICH HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

KFM



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