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003
FNUS54 KMRX 220141 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
941 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION
TONIGHT...WITH COOLER AND DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA FOR MONDAY
AND TUESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO LINGER FOR MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230245-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
941 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   65-70 (-10)  41-46        68-73
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-1)   41-46 (-12)  85-90        35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM
PRECIP END            2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NE  9
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  7         LGT/VAR      NE  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230245-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
941 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   65-70 (-10)  39-44        65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    40-45 (-12)  90-95        36-41
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM
PRECIP END            2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     E  9
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-230245-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
941 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   65-70 (-10)  40-45        65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    40-45 (-14)  95-100       33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  7         NE  5        LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM
PRECIP END            2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      NE  9
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   10 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G16                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    N  9 G17     NE  7 G15    NE  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-230245-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
941 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   69-74 (-10)  43-48        72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   38-43 (-12)  93-98        31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  8         NE  5        LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM
PRECIP END            2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      NE  9
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        N 10 G18     NE  7        LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
60. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-230245-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
941 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   68-73 (-9)   43-48        72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   40-45 (-11)  93-98        30-35
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  7         N  5         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM
PRECIP END            2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      E  9
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI                          4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G17                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  9 G17     N  6         LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230245-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
941 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   69-74 (-10)  43-48        70-75
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   38-43 (-10)  88-93        33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM
PRECIP END            2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NE  9
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         N  6         LGT/VAR      NE  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
60. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230245-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
941 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-7)   69-74 (-10)  44-49        71-76
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+2)   38-43 (-13)  87-92        32-37
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM
PRECIP END            2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      NE  9
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  7         N  5         NE  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230245-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
941 PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-6)   72-77 (-10)  47-52        74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+2)   36-41 (-13)  86-91        30-35
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  7         N  6         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM
PRECIP END            2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      NE  9
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G17                  NE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  9 G18     N  7         NE  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$



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