694
WHXX01 KMIA 190541
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0541 UTC SUN MAY 19 2013

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE ALVIN (EP012013) 20130519 0600 UTC

        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        130519  0600   130519  1800   130520  0600   130520  1800

         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.3N 118.8W   13.0N 121.1W   13.4N 123.1W   13.5N 124.8W
BAMD    12.3N 118.8W   13.6N 119.6W   15.0N 120.2W   16.0N 120.7W
BAMM    12.3N 118.8W   13.0N 120.4W   13.6N 121.8W   14.0N 123.1W
LBAR    12.3N 118.8W   13.0N 120.1W   14.2N 121.6W   15.3N 122.9W
SHIP        30KTS          27KTS          22KTS          16KTS
DSHP        30KTS          27KTS          22KTS          16KTS

        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        130521  0600   130522  0600   130523  0600   130524  0600

         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.3N 126.4W   12.8N 129.2W   12.9N 131.7W   13.7N 134.0W
BAMD    16.5N 121.0W   16.5N 122.0W   16.4N 123.1W   16.3N 124.3W
BAMM    14.2N 124.2W   14.5N 126.9W   15.0N 129.7W   15.6N 132.4W
LBAR    16.6N 124.3W   18.5N 126.0W   19.9N 125.9W   22.0N 123.3W
SHIP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS

         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.3N LONCUR = 118.8W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  12.0N LONM12 = 117.3W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  12.0N LONM24 = 115.3W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM

$$
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