817
ACUS02 KWNS 031728
SWODY2
SPC AC 031726

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1126 AM CST SUN MAR 03 2013

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE/AMPLIFIED LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
CONUS THROUGH MONDAY. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE
CANADIAN/NORTHERN CONUS ROCKIES WILL AMPLIFY/DIG EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
OVER THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TO UPPER MIDWEST BY MONDAY
NIGHT...WHILE A COLD FRONT SURGES SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL CONUS.

...MID-SOUTH/TN VALLEY...
TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER DARK NEAR/JUST BEHIND THE
EAST-SOUTHEAST MOVING COLD FRONT...WITH AID OF INCREASING WARM
ADVECTION AND MOISTENING NEAR/ABOVE THE SURFACE. SUCH DEVELOPMENT
SHOULD INITIALLY OCCUR ACROSS THE OZARKS MONDAY EVENING WITH
SUBSEQUENT EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD DEVELOPMENT INTO THE TN VALLEY
OVERNIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY. WHILE SOME SMALL HAIL MAY BE POSSIBLE GIVEN
THE STEEPNESS OF THE LAPSE RATES...A MODEST MOISTURE AND WEAK CAPE
ENVIRONMENT /A FEW HUNDRED J PER KG AT MOST/ IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE
SEVERE HAIL.

..GUYER.. 03/03/2013