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054
FXUS64 KEWX 160848
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
348 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
SURFACE RIDGE IS MOVING OFF TO THE EAST WITH SOUTHERLY LOWER LEVEL
FLOW RETURNING TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING. MANY
AREAS ARE A BIT WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT OUT WEST WHILE AREAS CLOSER
TO RIDGE ARE A LITTLE COOLER IN THE EAST WITH LIGHTER WINDS. SOME
LOW LYING SPOTS MAY FLIRT WITH FREEZING NEAR SUNRISE. WARMING AND
MOISTENING TREND BEGINS TODAY. LOW CLOUDS WILL RETURN OVERNIGHT.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES TO THE NORTH OF OUR AREA THURSDAY TO
GENERATE LIFT FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH MOVES OFF
TO THE EAST. THE TROUGH DRAGS A WEAK FRONT/SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS
OUR AREA STALLING JUST SOUTH AND WEST OF OUR AREA ON FRIDAY. THIS
IN COMBINATION WITH THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH GENERATES
ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT. THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS TEXAS THIS WEEKEND. ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREAD FROM WEST TO EAST
WITH GREATEST COVERAGE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. TROUGH MOVES
OFF TO THE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ENDING. WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TAKES HOLD FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
WILL NOT MENTION POPS. HOWEVER...CAN NOT RULE AN ISOLATED SHOWER
OR TWO DUE TO MOIST AIRMASS. A SLOW WARMING TREND RESUMES THIS
WEEKEND WITH A LITTLE MORE SIGNIFICANT WARMING NEXT WEEK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
OVER VAL VERDE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AS HUMIDITIES FALL TO NEAR
20 PERCENT WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH AND
GUSTY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
AUSTIN BERGSTROM HAS A NEW RECORD LOW OF 35 FOR TODAY APRIL 16TH.
THE OLD RECORD WAS 37 SET IN 2007. THE TEMPERATURE WILL LIKELY FALL
A LITTLE MORE BY SUNRISE. THE OTHER CLIMATE SITES WILL REMAIN WELL
ABOVE THEIR RECORDS FOR TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              72  55  74  58  80 /   0  -   20  10  10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  52  75  57  79 /   0  -   20  10  10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     73  55  77  58  81 /   0  -   10  10  10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            70  53  72  56  78 /   0  -   20  10  10
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77  57  85  61  83 /   0  -   -   -   20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        71  52  73  57  78 /   0  -   20  20  10
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             76  56  82  61  84 /   0  -   10  10  10
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        72  54  75  58  80 /   0  -   10  10  10
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   73  55  75  58  80 /   0  -   20  20  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       74  57  79  60  83 /   0  -   10  10  10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           75  58  81  61  83 /   0  -   10  10  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...99
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04






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