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085
FXXX02 KWNP 170456
WEKFOR

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Forecast
:Issued: 2014 Nov 17 0442 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#               27-day Space Weather Forecast
#
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
17 November - 13 December 2014

Solar activity is expected to be at predominately low to moderate
levels with isolated high activity from 17-25 November due to active
Region 2209. The exit of Region 2209 will see a decrease in solar
activity to mostly low levels from 26 November - 06 December. From
07-13 December, a return to predominately low to moderate levels
with isolated high activity is forecated due to the return of old
Region 2209.

A slight chance for a greater than 10 MeV proton event at
geosynchronous orbit exists from 17-25 November and from 07-13
December due to potential significant flare activity from Region
2209 through 25 November, and again after 07 December upon the
region's return.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be moderate to high levels from 17 November to 01
December, normal to moderate levels from 02-11 December, and
moderate to high levels from 12-13 December.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active
levels on 17-24 November, 04-06 December and 11-13 December due to a
combination of CIR/CH HSS and SSBC effects. Mostly quiet conditions
are anticipated for the remainder of the outlook period.




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