852
FLUS44 KTSA 251753
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1253 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1253 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE RED
RIVER AND EVENTUALLY INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER TODAY. WITH AN
UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER MOST OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER
IS NOT EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH A FEW CELLS MAY PRODUCE QUARTER SIZE
HAIL. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND
POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE SUNDAY...WITH DRY AND
WINDY CONDITIONS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BY LATER NEXT WEEK...A DEEPER
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURNING BY WEDNESDAY.
THIS PATTERN WILL FAVOR AN ENHANCED THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
FORECASTS REGARDING SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL FOR THE MID TO LATE
PART OF THIS WEEK SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED IN THE COMING DAYS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$