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589
WGUS82 KTBW 010233
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA
HEAD...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT
WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK...THE PEACE
RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IF
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OCCURS OVER THE RIVER BASINS THE FLOODING WILL
BECOME WORSE.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC115-011533-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141001T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.6 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN
BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.6 FEET...THE WALKWAY TO THE RIVER GAGE FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.1 FEET ON JUN 30
  2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7  9.4  TUE 10 PM   9.6    9.4    9.2    9.1    8.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-011533-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141005T0900Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141005T0300Z.NO/
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
* AT 10 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG
29 2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13 15.3  TUE 10 PM  15.4   14.4   13.7   13.3   12.8


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-011533-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141004T0000Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141003T1800Z.NO/
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING
* AT 10 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.8 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND AND 33RD
  STREETS IN RUSKIN.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11 13.7  TUE 10 PM  13.8   12.6   11.2   10.1    9.1


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-011500-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141001T1500Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140928T1015Z.141001T0900Z.NO/
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING
* AT 09 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.4 FEET ON SEP
18 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11 11.5  TUE 09 PM  10.9   10.2    9.4    8.6    7.4


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224



$$

FLC027-011533-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0345Z.141004T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 09 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.3 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN
  FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL
30 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11 11.3  TUE 09 PM  11.6   11.9   12.2   12.3   12.2


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186



$$

FLC027-011533-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141004T1800Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.140929T1800Z.141004T1200Z.NO/
1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 09 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.8 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
  THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12 12.8  TUE 09 PM  12.8   12.5   12.3   12.0   11.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$





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