weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Area Forecast Discussion
NWS Homepage
This page is being discontinued on March 12, 2014.
The same data is available at this site. Please update your bookmarks.
Thank you, and we apologize for the inconvenience.
Please send an email to SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov with any concerns.


Current Version
Previous Version:    01  02  03  04  05  06  07  08  09  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  
[Printable]
597
FXUS62 KTBW 241538
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1030 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNINGS SOUNDING SHOWS SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS VEERING WITH
HEIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE PULLED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE
COOLER COASTAL WATERS RESULTING IN SEA FOG OVER THE GULF AND
INTRUDING OVER LAND AREAS. THE FOG WILL LINGER OVER THE WATERS BUT
IS DISSIPATING OVER THE LAND. THE PW HAS DROPPED TO LESS THAN 1.5
BUT SHOULD BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AS DEEPER MOISTURE IS
TRANSPORTED OVER THE STATE WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS. THE CAPE VALUES
FROM THE SOUNDINGS AT MFL AND TBW 4000 AND 2600 THIS MORNING SO WITH
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE... HEATING AND INCREASING MOISTURE A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF TSTMS WAS ADDED TO THIS AFTERNOONS FORECAST. THE SUNSHINE WILL
ALSO RAISE TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...
THE LOW CLOUDS WITH IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND AREAS OF FOG ARE LIFTING
THIS MORNING WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO RETURN BY THIS
AFTERNOON HOWEVER SEA FOG MAY STILL DRIFT NEAR TAF SITES OF TPA...
PIE AND SRQ. MORE IFR/LIFR CEILINGS WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN FOG
ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
THE SOUTHERLY FLOW OF WARM HUMID AIR BROUGHT WIDESPREAD AREAS OF SEA
FOG ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND VISIBILITIES CONTINUE TO BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN 1 MILE. THEREFORE THE MARINE DENSE FOG ADVISORY
IS EXTENDED UNTIL 4 PM AND NOW INCLUDES TAMPA BAY. THIS MAY HAVE TO
BE EXTENDED LONGER AS SEA FOG WILL LIKELY LINGER THROUGH TONIGHT AND
NOT REALLY GO AWAY UNTIL THE WINDS SHIFT ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL
HAPPEN AS A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN
WATERS AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OUT OVER THE GULF AND MOVES
NORTHEAST ALONG THIS FRONT. SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORMS
MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM. ROBUST NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
OVERSPREAD THE WATERS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BEHIND THIS SYSTEM
WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
SUBSIDE THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST
FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS
OUT 20 TO 60 NM-TAMPA BAY WATERS- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER
OUT 20 NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

CP/TD








U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE