weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Area Forecast Discussion
NWS Homepage
This page is being discontinued on March 12, 2014.
The same data is available at this site. Please update your bookmarks.
Thank you, and we apologize for the inconvenience.
Please send an email to SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov with any concerns.


Current Version
Previous Version:    01  02  03  04  05  06  07  08  09  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  
[Printable]
752
FXUS62 KTBW 190146
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
946 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.UPDATE...
SILL HAVE SOME SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OUT
THERE...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN POLK AND SUMTER COUNTIES. DRIER
AIR OVER THE REGION HELPED LIMIT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY...BUT
A LOOK AT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS EVENING SHOWS MUCH LESS IN THE
WAY OF DRY AIR AS A SHORTWAVE DIGS IN FROM THE WEST. THUS WE CAN
EXPECT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO PICK UP OVER THE GULF
AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AS IT
ALSO SHIFTS CLOSER TO THE COAST. MADE SOME UPDATES TO POPS FOR
TIMING...WITH NO OTHER MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE ONGOING FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS OUT THERE CURRENTLY. WILL LEAVE MENTION OF 6SM AND
BR IN THE FORECAST FOR KLAL THIS MORNING WITH SOME PATCHY FOG
POSSIBLE ACROSS INLAND AREAS. OTHERWISE...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL BE PICKING UP ACROSS ALL TERMINALS AFTER AROUND
12Z OR SO WITH MVFR OR IFR RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF
THE DAY.

&&

.MARINE...
DRY WEATHER OVER THE WATERS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...BUT THE
MOSTLY MILD WEATHER WILL BECOME UNSETTLED OVER THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN FLORIDA WILL BRING
GOOD CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS AND FRESH BREEZES STARTING FRIDAY
MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  76  83  71  86 /  20  80  30  50
FMY  74  87  72  85 /  20  80  30  50
GIF  73  85  70  85 /  20  80  30  60
SRQ  75  85  71  85 /  30  80  30  50
BKV  71  84  67  87 /  10  70  30  60
SPG  77  84  73  86 /  20  80  30  50

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...05/CARLISLE
MARINE...007/DOUGHERTY
DECISION SUPPORT...21/JELSEMA






U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE