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766
FNUS72 KTAE 211235 CCA
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 254...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
828 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

CORRECTED TO ADD SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES

.DISCUSSION...

RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS
TODAY...BUT WILL COME CLOSE TO WITH RED FLAG CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. ALTHOUGH RED FLAG CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME...IT MAY BE CLOSE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. CAUTION SHOULD BE
EXERCISED ON WEDNESDAY DUE TO MARGINALLY HIGH DISPERSION INDICES.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...

ONLY PATCHY LIGHT FOG SHOULD BE ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION..........42.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........5      5      5      5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............73     80     82     83
RH..............62     44     37     35
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 3    N 4    NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION..........4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........13     11     11     12     12     12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............81     71     66     64     61     58
RH..............37     51     60     63     68     75
20 FT WIND......NW 4   NW 2   NW 1   NW 1   N 2    N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-3600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION..........50.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........14     15     15     13     11     11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     52     65     76     76     79
RH..............79     81     55     37     33     27
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 3    N 4    N 5    N 5    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...JANE HOLLINGSWORTH
REQUESTED BY...BOB AIRHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.BURNU.01/TAE










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