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913
ACUS48 KWNS 290655
SWOD48
SPC AC 290655

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0155 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

VALID 011200Z - 061200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL EXIST THROUGH THE
D4-D8 PERIOD. THE ERN UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN THROUGH ABOUT D6 BUT
WITH A CONTINUED WEAKENING OF THE HEIGHT GRADIENT ALOFT. BY
D7-D8...THIS TROUGH IS FORECAST TO BECOME ABSORBED BY A NRN
DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC AND AROUND A HUDSON BAY
LOW.

FOR THE REST OF THE CONUS...GENERALLY WEAK FLOW WITH 500 MB FLOW AOB
25 KT WILL EXIST. MONSOONAL STORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FOUR
CORNERS STATES INTO THE GREAT BASIN...WITH SOME RETURN OF LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND SERN STATES.
HOWEVER...ONLY NON-SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED THERE DUE TO WEAK FLOW
AND ONLY MODEST INSTABILITY.

..JEWELL.. 07/29/2014




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