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Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
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TXUS20 KNES 180843
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/18/14 0843Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13: 0832ZVOGT MILLER
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LOCATION...FLORIDA...GEORGIA...ALABAMA...
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ATTN WFOS...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT... SATELLITE TRENDS FOR ONGOING RAIN EVENT... THIS IS A FOLLOW UP
MESSAGE FOR PREVIOUS SPENES.
.
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0845-1445Z...MEDIUM HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK... RECENT SURFACE SHIP/BUOY WIND OBSERVATIONS
INDICATE THE FORMATION OF A SFC LOW CENTERED NEAR 29N/87W, CORRESPONDING
WELL WITH THE ROTATION THAT IS NOW EVIDENT IN RADAR. AT THE MID-TO-UPPER
LEVELS, THE LEADING EDGE OF THE TROF CONTINUES TO PUSH EWD ACROSS THE GULF
STATES WHERE NRN STREAM ENERGY WRAPS AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROF... GOES-R
RGB AIRMASS PRODUCT INDICATES STRONG PV/UPPER AIR ANOMALIES IN THIS AREA
(INDICATED BY REDDISH HUES). A S/WV IMPULSE IS EVIDENT MOVING INTO LA
WHICH WILL LIKELY HELP FURTHER ENHANCE PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT 3-6
HOURS AS WELL. STRONG UL JET REMAINS PRESENT ACROSS LA EXTENDING NEWD INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. IN ADDITION, HIGHER PW`S ARE SURGING NWD WHERE
VALUES ALONG THE COAST HAVE INCREASED FROM 1.0 " TO 1.5" SINCE 00Z. THAT
BEING SAID, THE POSITION OF THE SFC LOW IS THE MOST CRITICAL IN TERMS OF
HEAVIEST RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS... SEEMS
AS IF THE LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS THE WRN FL PANHANDLE AS IT SLOWLY LIFTS
NEWD THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SO CAN EXPECT HEAVIEST RAIN AXIS FROM THE FL
PANHANDLE INTO SE AL/SRN GA... RAIN TOTALS COULD INCREASE FROM WHAT THEY
HAVE BEEN SINCE THE COLUMN IS ALREADY SATURATED.... SO A GENERAL 1-2"
OVER 6-HRS IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAREST THE SFC LOW
TRACK (i.e., BAY, GULF, WAKULLA,FRANKLIN,LIBERTY COUNTIES). WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR...
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
.
FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
.
FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
.
LAT...LON 3229 8702 3152 8282 2732 8475 2794 8890
.
NNNN




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