205
NOCA42 TJSJ 010600
PNSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-011800-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
200 AM AST SAT JUN 1 2013

...START OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON...

TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE ATLANTIC BASIN HURRICANE SEASON
WHICH WILL RUN THROUGH NOVEMBER 30. LONG-TERM AVERAGES FOR THE
NUMBER OF NAMED STORMS...HURRICANES...AND MAJOR HURRICANES ARE
12...6...AND 3...RESPECTIVELY.


THE LIST OF NAMES FOR 2013 IS AS FOLLOWS:

                       NAMES

ANDREA         BARRY           CHANTAL        DORIAN
ERIN           FERNAND         GABRIELLE      HUMBERTO
INGRID         JERRY           KAREN          LORENZO
MELISSA        NESTOR          OLGA           PABLO
REBEKAH        SEBASTIEN       TANYA          VAN
WENDY

LATEST NOAA`S CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER SEASONAL OUTLOOK CALLS
FOR A 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF AN ABOVE NORMAL SEASON...A 25 PERCENT
CHANCE OF A NEAR NORMAL SEASON AND ONLY 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF A
BELOW NORMAL SEASON WITH THE BEST ESTIMATES OF 13 TO 20 NAMED
STORMS...WITH 7 TO 11 EXPECTED TO REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY AND
3 TO 6 EXPECTED TO REACH MAJOR HURRICANE INTENSITY OR CATEGORY 3 OR
HIGHER IN THE SAFFIR SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.

REGARDLESS OF THE 2013 HURRICANE SEASON FORECAST...RESIDENTS OF
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS MUST REMEMBER THAT IT ONLY
TAKES ONE TROPICAL STORM TO CAUSE A DISASTER. RESIDENTS MUST ALSO
REMEMBER THAT HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING ARE NOT DIRECTLY
RELATED TO THE INTENSITY OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. SOME OF THE
GREATEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS OCCUR WITH WEAKER STORMS THAT MOVE SLOWLY
OR STALL OVER AN AREA.

THE MONTHS OF JUNE AND JULY THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN TYPICALLY
SEE A MINIMUM IN TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY WITH OUR AREA
BEING MOST VULNERABLE TO TROPICAL CYCLONES DURING THE PERIOD
OF AUGUST 20 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 15 WHEN MOST STORMS ORIGINATE IN
THE AREA NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. NOW IS THE TIME TO REVIEW YOUR
HURRICANE PLANS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS TIPS AND HURRICANES
IN GENERAL IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET FROM SEVERAL WEB SOURCES:

PUERTO RICO EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY SPANISH WEB PAGE:

(ALL WEB PAGES SHOULD BE TYPED IN LOWER CASE)

HTTP://WWW.MANEJODEEMERGENCIAS.PR.GOV

FEDERAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY:

HTTP://FEMA.GOV

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER PREPAREDNESS HOME PAGE:

HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/PREPARE

AMERICAN RED CROSS HOME PAGE:

HTTP://REDCROSS.ORG



$$