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285
FGUS51 KRHA 291331
RVFNY2
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER, STATE COLLEGE, PA
 831 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015
:
:    River Forecast for Upper Delaware Basin
:
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Walton - West Branch Delaware River
:CS=7.5, FS=9.5, Moderate FS=14.0, Major FS=16.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.4 FT AT 0745 EST ON 0129
.E WALN6 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      3.4/      3.3/      3.3
.E2 :0130:/      3.3/      3.3/      3.3/      3.2
.E3 :0131:/      3.2/      3.2/      3.2/      3.2
.E4 :0201:/      3.2
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Cannonsville Pool - West Branch Delaware River
:CS=1150.0, FS=1153.0, Moderate FS=1154.0, Major FS=1156.0
:
:LATEST POOL ELEVATION 1124.0 FT AT 0600 EST ON 0129
.E CNNN6 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/   1123.9/   1123.9/   1123.8
.E2 :0130:/   1123.8/   1123.8/   1123.7/   1123.7
.E3 :0131:/   1123.6/   1123.6/   1123.5/   1123.5
.E4 :0201:/   1123.4
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Hale Eddy - West Branch Delaware River
:CS=9.0, FS=11.0, Moderate FS=13.0, Major FS=15.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 4.4 FT AT 0745 EST ON 0129
.E HLEN6 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      4.4/      4.5/      4.6
.E2 :0130:/      4.5/      4.4/      4.4/      4.2
.E3 :0131:/      4.4/      4.3/      4.4/      4.2
.E4 :0201:/      4.2
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Pepacton Pool - East Branch Delaware River
:CS=1280.0, FS=1281.0, Moderate FS=1282.0, Major FS=1284.0
:
:LATEST POOL ELEVATION 1256.9 FT AT 0600 EST ON 0129
.E PEPN6 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/   1256.9/   1256.9/   1256.9
.E2 :0130:/   1256.8/   1256.7/   1256.7/   1256.7
.E3 :0131:/   1256.7/   1256.6/   1256.6/   1256.6
.E4 :0201:/   1256.6
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Harvard - East Branch Delaware River
:CS=7.0, FS=10.0, Moderate FS=12.0, Major FS=15.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.7 FT AT 0745 EST ON 0129
.E HVDN6 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      2.7/      2.6/      2.5
.E2 :0130:/      2.5/      2.5/      2.5/      2.5
.E3 :0131:/      2.5/      2.5/      2.5/      2.5
.E4 :0201:/      2.5
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Cooks Falls - Beaver Kill Creek
:CS=8.0, FS=10.0, Moderate FS=16.0, Major FS=18.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.4 FT AT 0800 EST ON 0129
.E CKFN6 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      1.3/      1.4/      1.5
.E2 :0130:/      1.5/      1.5/      1.6/      1.5
.E3 :0131:/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5
.E4 :0201:/      1.5
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Fishs Eddy - East Branch Delaware River
:CS=11.0, FS=13.0, Moderate FS=16.0, Major FS=18.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 4.2 FT AT 0815 EST ON 0129
.E FSHN6 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      4.2/      4.2/      4.0
.E2 :0130:/      4.1/      4.1/      4.1/      4.1
.E3 :0131:/      4.1/      4.1/      4.1/      4.1
.E4 :0201:/      4.1
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Callicoon - Delaware River
:CS=9.0, FS=12.0, Moderate FS=13.0, Major FS=14.8
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.1 FT AT 0730 EST ON 0129
.E CCRN6 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      3.1/      3.1/      3.1
.E2 :0130:/      3.0/      3.1/      3.0/      3.1
.E3 :0131:/      3.0/      3.1/      3.0/      3.1
.E4 :0201:/      3.0
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Barryville - Delaware River
:CS=15.0, FS=17.0, Moderate FS=22.0, Major FS=26.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.2 FT AT 0745 EST ON 0129
.E BRYN6 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      3.2/      2.9/      3.1
.E2 :0130:/      2.9/      3.1/      2.9/      3.0
.E3 :0131:/      3.0/      3.0/      3.0/      3.0
.E4 :0201:/      2.9
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Hawley - Lackawaxen River
:CS=9.0, FS=11.0, Moderate FS=12.0, Major FS=20.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.0 FT AT 0745 EST ON 0129
.E HWYP1 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      2.0/      2.1/      2.0
.E2 :0130:/      2.1/      1.9/      2.0/      2.0
.E3 :0131:/      2.0/      2.0/      2.0/      2.0
.E4 :0201:/      2.0
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Matamoras / Port Jervis - Delaware River
:CS=16.0, FS=18.0, Moderate FS=24.0, Major FS=27.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.0 FT AT 0746 EST ON 0129
.E MTMP1 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      2.8/      2.6/      2.8
.E2 :0130:/      2.5/      2.7/      2.5/      2.6
.E3 :0131:/      2.5/      2.6/      2.5/      2.5
.E4 :0201:/      2.5
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Neversink Pool - Neversink River
:CS=1440.0, FS=1441.5, Moderate FS=1442.0, Major FS=1443.0
:
:LATEST POOL ELEVATION 1425.3 FT AT 0600 EST ON 0129
.E NVRN6 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/   1425.2/   1425.2/   1425.1
.E2 :0130:/   1425.0/   1424.9/   1424.7/   1424.6
.E3 :0131:/   1424.5/   1424.4/   1424.3/   1424.1
.E4 :0201:/   1424.1
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Bridgeville - Neversink River
:CS=12.0, FS=13.0, Moderate FS=17.0, Major FS=19.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 5.1 FT AT 0730 EST ON 0129
.E BRGN6 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      5.1/      5.1/      5.1
.E2 :0130:/      5.0/      5.0/      5.0/      5.0
.E3 :0131:/      5.0/      5.0/      5.0/      5.0
.E4 :0201:/      5.0
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Godeffroy - Neversink River
:CS=8.0, FS=10.0, Moderate FS=11.0, Major FS=12.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.4 FT AT 0816 EST ON 0129
.E NEVN6 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      3.3/      3.3/      3.3
.E2 :0130:/      3.3/      3.3/      3.3/      3.3
.E3 :0131:/      3.3/      3.3/      3.3/      3.3
.E4 :0201:/      3.3
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Montague - Delaware River
:CS=23.0, FS=25.0, Moderate FS=28.0, Major FS=33.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 6.7 FT AT 0800 EST ON 0129
.E MTGN4 0129 E DC1501290829/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0129: :       :/      6.5/      6.0/      6.4
.E2 :0130:/      6.0/      6.4/      6.0/      6.3
.E3 :0131:/      6.0/      6.1/      5.9/      6.1
.E4 :0201:/      5.7
:********************************************************************
COMMENT

ICE EFFECTS NOTED.

THE TERM "ICE EFFECTS" MEANS THAT RIVER ICE ACCUMULATION IN THE
VICINITY OF THE RIVER GAGE IS ALTERING THE CHANNEL CROSS-SECTION (IN
ADDITION TO INCREASING FRICTION) WHICH PRODUCES HIGHER STAGES THAN
WOULD BE EXPECTED WITHOUT THE RIVER ICE.  THE RELATIONSHIP (RATING)
BETWEEN RIVER FLOW AND GAGE HEIGHT IS NO LONGER VALID.  A STRETCH OF
RIVER DOES NOT HAVE TO BE ICE COVERED TO EXHIBIT ICE EFFECTS.  ICE CAN
FORM ALONG THE SURFACE IN SLOW MOVING SECTIONS, ALONG THE BANKS AND
SIDES OF THE CHANNEL, AND ALSO ON THE CHANNEL BOTTOM (ANCHOR ICE).
ABRUPT FLUCTUATIONS OF SEVERAL FEET ARE QUITE COMMON AND SHOULD BE
EXPECTED DURING EXTENDED COLD SPELLS.

$$
MARFC
:...END of MESSAGE...
NNNN




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