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354
FSUS46 KLOX 301047
QPSLOX

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
400 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

PRECIPITATION FORECASTS IN INCHES ARE PROVIDED IN 3-HOUR
INCREMENTS UNTIL 1700 FOLLOWED BY 6-HOUR INCREMENTS UNTIL 0500.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES COVER UP TO 0500 ON DAY 1 ONLY.

LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ZERO BUT LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
INCH ARE SHOWN AS LGT.

THE DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM: THU OCT 30 2014 THROUGH THU NOV 06 2014.

                                    05-08  08-11  11-14  14-17  |  17-23  23-05

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY...

LSRC1:CAMBRIA                        0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SMRC1:SANTA MARGARITA                0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
NIPC1:LOPEZ LAKE                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

SLO: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00         FTHLS/MTNS 0.00
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN        N/A
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...

SIYC1:SANTA MARIA CITY               0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SBTC1:SANTA BARBARA POTRERO          0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
GBRC1:GIBRALTAR DAM                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SMCC1:SAN MARCOS PASS                0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SBFC1:SANTA BARBARA COUNTY BUILDING  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

SBA: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00         FTHLS/MTNS 0.00
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN        N/A
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

VENTURA COUNTY...

MTDC1:MATILIJA DAM                   0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
HRCC1:HOPPER CANYON                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
FGWC1:FAGAN CANYON                   0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
VTUC1:VENTURA COUNTY GOVT CENTER     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
MORC1:MOORPARK COUNTY YARD           0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
CRXC1:CIRCLE X RANCH                 0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

VTU: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00         FTHLS/MTNS 0.00
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN        N/A
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

LOS ANGELES COUNTY...

SAUC1:SAUGUS                         0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
PCDC1:PACOIMA DAM                    0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
WFKC1:WEST FORK HELIPORT (MT WILSON) 0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
FLTC1:LA CANADA FLINTRIDGE           0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
BDDC1:BIG DALTON DAM                 0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
CQT  :LOS ANGELES DOWNTOWN (USC)     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
MLUC1:BIG ROCK MESA                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

LAC: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00         FTHLS/MTNS 0.00
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN        N/A
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

DISCUSSION:

A COLD FRONT AND A VIGOROUS POST FRONTAL TROF WILL MOVE THROUGH AREA
FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
THE CENTRAL COAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. THE SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE AREA SATURDAY.

MOST OF THE RAIN WILL FALL FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE
DAWN.

THE POST FRONTAL TROF WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHC OF THUNDERSTORMS TO
SLO AND SBA COUNTIES.

MAX RAINFALL RATES WILL BE ABOUT A THIRD OF AN INCH PER HOUR.
HEAVIER RAINFALL RATES UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE UNDER
TSTMS.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS KEEP IN RAMPING UP WITH EACH MDL RUN. NOW IT LOOKS
LIKE THE CENTRAL COAST WILL LIKELY SEE .75 INCHES TO AROUND AN INCH.
THE REST OF THE NON-DESERT AREAS SHOULD RECEIVE ABOUT A QUARTER TO A
HALF INCH OF RAIN...EXCEPT FOR THE FOOTHILL AREAS OF THE SAN
GABRIELS COULD SEE UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN.

SNOW LEVELS WILL START OUT OVER 7000 FEET BUT WILL FALL TO AROUND
6000 FEET BY SATURDAY. SNOWFALL IS REALLY NOT AN ISSUE BUT THERE
WILL BE SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS AT ELEVATIONS OVER 6000 FEET ACROSS
THE NORTH SLOPES AND THE EASTERN SAN GABRIELS.


$$

RORKE






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