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NOUS46 KSEW 302232
PNSSEW

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
330 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...ARE YOU READY FOR FALL AND WINTER WEATHER?...

AFTER A WARM SUMMER...FALL WEATHER HAS ARRIVED AND WINTER IS JUST A
FEW MONTHS AWAY. ARE YOU READY FOR FALL AND WINTER WEATHER?

WHAT DOES THIS WINTER HAVE IN STORE? THE LATEST REGIONAL WINTER
WEATHER OUTLOOK FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICES CLIMATE
PREDICTION CENTER IS BASED ON WHAT THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN TROPICAL
PACIFIC SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE DOING. RIGHT NOW THEY ARE CLOSE
TO AVERAGE BUT TRENDING TOWARD WARMING FOR EXPECTED WEAK EL NINO
CONDITIONS THIS WINTER SEASON.

HISTORICALLY...EL NINO BRINGS WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NEAR OR A BIT BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE
LATEST OUTLOOK INDICATES INCREASED ODDS ON WARMER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR
THE ENTIRE WINTER SEASON.

DOES THAT MEAN THE IT WILL BE WARMER AND DRIER ALL WINTER? NO. IT
MEANS THAT OVER THE LONG RUN...THERE IS A GREATER CHANCE THAT
TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE OUT TO BE WARMER THAN NORMAL AND
PRECIPITATION TO BE BELOW NORMAL.

WITH EXPECTED WARMER TEMPERATURES...THE AVERAGE SNOW LEVEL WILL TEND
TO BE HIGHER LIKELY TRANSLATING INTO A BELOW AVERAGE MOUNTAIN SNOW
PACK.

EL NINOS TEND TO HAVE FEWER HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD EVENTS...WIND
STORMS AND LOWLAND SNOW EVENTS. YET SOME EL NINO EVENTS CAN BE QUITE
ACTIVE. OF THE TOP 10 SNOWIEST WINTERS IN SEATTLE...THREE OF THEM
WERE DURING EL NINO WINTERS. THE SLOW DEVELOPING EL NINO IN 2006-07
RESULTED IN MAJOR FLOODING IN EARLY NOVEMBER AND THE HANAKKAH EVE
WIND STORM IN MID DECEMBER.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO PREPARE FOR ADVERSE WINTER WEATHER NOW...BEFORE
THE WIND BLOWS...THE SNOW FLIES AND THE RIVERS RISE. HERE ARE A FEW
KEY RESOURCES TO HELP YOU GET READY FOR THIS WINTER - AT HOME...IN
YOUR VEHICLE...AND AT WORK OR SCHOOL.

HTTP://WWW.READY.GOV/  HTTP://TAKEWINTERBYSTORM.ORG

HTTP://WWW.EMD.WA.GOV

NEXT WEEK ON OCTOBER 7 AND 8...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
SEATTLE WILL HOST TWO MEDIA AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WORKSHOPS TO
HELP OUR PARTNERS BE BETTER INFORMED AND PREPARED TO WORK TOGETHER
BEFORE AND DURING ADVERSE WINTER WEATHER. A SPEAKER FROM THE CLIMATE
PREDICTION CENTER WILL DISCUSS THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER OUTLOOK AND
ADDRESS QUESTIONS AS A PART OF EACH WORKSHOP.

THOSE PREPARING AND RESPONDING TO ADVERSE WINTER WEATHER WILL BE
READY. WILL YOU?

$$

BUEHNER







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