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NOUS43 KICT 221929 CCA
PNSICT

NOUS43 KICT 102100
PNSICT
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-232000-

SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
230 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

TO:      FAMILY OF SERVICES/FOS/SUBSCRIBERS...NOAA WEATHER WIRE
         SERVICE/NWWS/SUBSCRIBERS...EMERGENCY MANAGERS WEATHER
         INFORMATION NETWORK/EMWIN/SUBSCRIBER...NOAAPORT
         SUBSCRIBERS...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE/NWS/CUSTOMERS
         AND PARTNERS...AND NWS EMPLOYEES.

FROM:    JANET SALAZAR
         SERVICE HYDROLOGIST
         WFO WICHITA KS

SUBJECT: ADJUSTMENT TO SERVICES PROVIDED TO THE WICHITA
         HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA

...NEW PROBABILISTIC RIVER OUTLOOK AVAILABLE...

BEGINNING 22 OCTOBER 2014...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
WICHITA WILL IMPLEMENT THE ISSUANCE OF NON-EXCEEDANCE
PROBABILITIES AS PART OF THE CURRENT SUITE OF AHPS PROBABILISTIC
OUTLOOKS FOR ALL CURRENTLY ESTABLISHED PROBABILISTIC FORECAST
POINTS. THE NON-EXCEEDANCE OUTLOOKS WILL INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF FALLING TO LISTED STAGE LEVELS DURING THE THREE MONTH LONG
VALID TIME PERIOD. THIS PRODUCT IS AIMED AT HELPING DECISION
MAKERS DETERMINE THE LONG RANGE POSSIBILITY OF LOW WATER.

ADVANCED HYDROLOGY PREDICTION SERVICE OR AHPS IS THE
MODERNIZATION OF HYDROLOGY SERVICES TO IMPROVE FLOOD FORECASTS AND
WATER RESOURCES INFORMATION. GRAPHICAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON
THE INTERNET AT: HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/ (THE WEB ADDRESS IS IN
ALL LOWER CASE AND ONCE ON THE WEB PAGE YOU CAN ZOOM INTO YOUR
RESPECTIVE COUNTY). TO FIND THE NON-EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITY
GRAPHS...SELECT YOUR RIVER OF INTEREST AND GO TO THE HYDROGRAPH
PAGE FOR THAT RIVER. SCROLL TO THE BOTTOM OF THE HYDROGRAPH PAGE
AND UNDER THE ADDITIONAL INFORMATION TAB...SELECT THE LINK
TITLED: "HOW LOW COULD THE RIVER GET?". TO SEE AN EXAMPLE OF THE
NON-EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITY GRAPH FOR THE FORECAST POINT ON THE
SALINE RIVER AT LINCOLN GO TO THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/NON_EXCEED.PHP?WFO=ICT&GAGE=LINK1

INFORMATION ON THE INTERNET FOR THESE PROBABILISTIC AHPS SITES
CAN INCLUDE:
- GRAPHS SHOWING CURRENT AND FORECAST STAGE/RESERVOIR POOL HEIGHTS
- GRAPHS SHOWING CHANCES OR PROBABILITIES OF EXCEEDING CERTAIN
  STAGE/RESERVOIR POOL HEIGHTS
- GRAPHS SHOWING CHANCES OR PROBABILITIES OF FALLING TO CERTAIN
  STAGE/RESERVOIR POOL INFLOWS
- A MAP SHOWING THE LOCATION OF THE GAUGES AND FEMA NATIONAL
  FLOOD HAZARD LEVELS

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WELCOMES PUBLIC FEEDBACK. IF YOU HAVE
ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS CHANGE...PLEASE CONTACT:

     JANET SALAZAR
     SERVICE HYDROLOGIST

     NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
     2142 SOUTH TYLER RD
     WICHITA KS 67209
     PHONE: 316-942-8483


$$


























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