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[Printable]
158
FXUS64 KOUN 211114
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
614 AM CDT THU AUG 21 2014

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS... VFR CEILINGS EXPECTED WITH MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS.
A FEW SHOWERS/STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE IN THE AREA OF KGAG AND KWWR
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING BUT CHANCES TOO LOW FOR
MENTION IN TAF AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 317 AM CDT THU AUG 21 2014/

DISCUSSION...
WITH UPPER HIGH CENTERED TO THE EAST OF THE AREA AND UPR TROUGH OVER
THE WESTERN U.S.... SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL LEAD TO A LOW CHANCE
OF SHOWERS/STORMS IN FAR NW PARTS OF THE FA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. OTHERWISE... HOT AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THE
WEEKEND.

SOUTHWEST FLOW MAY CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND A WEAK BOUNDARY
COULD APPROACH AND POSSIBLY MOVE INTO NW PARTS OF THE FA. THIS COULD
LEAD TO A CONTINUED LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS
THEN SHOW ANOTHER WESTERN U.S. TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S.
MIDDLE TO LATE NEXT WEEK WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA.
IF THIS HAPPENS COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BETTER CHANCES OF RAIN WILL
BE MORE LIKELY. HOWEVER... THERE ARE MAJOR DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS
ON THE HANDLING OF THIS SYSTEM SO WILL NEED TO WAIT AND SEE IF THIS
HAPPENS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  98  75  98  74 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         99  75  99  72 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX 100  76 100  74 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           99  75  98  73 /  20  20  20  20
PONCA CITY OK     99  76  98  75 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         98  74  98  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

17/25/25




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