997
FXUS64 KOHX 191125
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
625 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

.UPDATE...FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.AVIATION...12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

HIGH CLOUD COVER HAS HAMPERED MOST FOG DEVELOPMENT AROUND MIDDLE
TENNESSEE THIS MORNING...BUT A FEW SPOTS WILL HOLD ONTO MVFR
THROUGH 13Z. VFR FOR THE REST OF THIS TAF CYCLE WITH LIGHT NE
WINDS AND SCT CU DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. WILL NEED TO WATCH
FOR ISOLATED TS THIS AFTERNOON TOO...BUT COVERAGE NOT ENOUGH TO
INCLUDE IN PREVAILING TAFS.

SOGGY GROUNDS AND EASTERLY FLOW COULD BRING KCSV DOWN TO IFR LATE
TONIGHT.

27/UNGER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 306 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013/

DISCUSSION...

HIGH CLOUDS ACRS THE AREA THIS MORNING SHOULD THIN A BIT THROUGH
THE MORNING WITH A FAIR AMNT OF SUN ON TAP FOR MUCH OF THE DAY.
THE FRONT WHICH KICKED OFF CONVECTION OVER KY YDAY IS WASHING OUT
AS IT MOVES INTO TN BUT IT STILL COULD PRODUCE ENUF OF A LINGERING
TRIGGER TO KEEP VERY LOW POPS GOING THIS AFTN. MAV TEMPS LOOK
RSNBL TODAY AND TONIGHT.

BOTH THE NAM AND GFS DEPICT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A MID LVL WEAKNESS OR
EVEN BRIEFLY CUT OFF LOW ON THURSDAY AND PRODUCE DIURNAL CONVECTION
ACCORDINGLY. BOUNDARY LYR MSTR DOESN`T LOOK REAL IMPRESSIVE SO
CVRG SHOULD BE LIMITED. WILL KEEP LOW POPS GOING. IN FACT LOW
DIURNAL POPS WILL BE CARRIED THRU THE FCST PERIOD AS THE ATMOS
MOISTENS IN A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN. MEX/HPC TEMPS IN
REASONABLE AGREEMENT AND WE DID NOT MAKE ANY SIGNIFICANT CHGS.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

27