weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Area Forecast Discussion
NWS Homepage
This page is being discontinued on March 12, 2014.
The same data is available at this site. Please update your bookmarks.
Thank you, and we apologize for the inconvenience.
Please send an email to SR-SRH.Webmaster@noaa.gov with any concerns.


Current Version
Previous Version:    01  02  03  04  05  06  07  08  09  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  
   31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  
[Printable]
809
FXUS62 KMFL 222029
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
329 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...MARINE CONDITIONS IMPROVING OVER SOUTH FLORIDA SUNDAY...
...COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER POSSIBLE MIDDLE TO LATE NEXT WEEK...

.SHORT TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WILL MOVE EAST INTO
THE ATLANTIC WATERS TONIGHT...AS LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP
AND MOVE NORTHEAST OVER TEXAS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A WARM FRONT
OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS TO MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA
TONIGHT AND BE LOCATED OVER THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION BY SUNDAY
MORNING. THE WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA AS THE WIND SPEEDS DECREASE TO 10 MPH OR LESS OVER THE LAND
AREAS. THIS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR THE SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA TO SLOWLY DISSIPATE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES ON
SUNDAY AND INTO EASTERN CANADA ON MONDAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
SOUTHEAST INTO NORTH FLORIDA. THIS WILL LEAD TO A SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH
WIND FLOW OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY AND BRING IN SOME DRIER
AIR TO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH. THE POPS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA ON
SUNDAY WILL RANGE FROM A CHANCE OVER THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION TO A
SLIGHT CHANCE OVER THE SOUTHERN AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. ON
MONDAY...THE POPS WILL BE ONLY IN A SLIGHT CHANCE CAT OVER THE EAST
COAST METRO AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WHILE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA WILL
REMAIN DRY.

THE FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA ON
TUESDAY...AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT
OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE WIND FLOW OVER
SOUTH FLORIDA TO BECOME MORE SOUTHWEST AND BRING IN SOME MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. POPS WILL BE IN THE CHANCE TO LIKELY CAT
OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE BEST COVERAGE OVER THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE
REGION. THERE COULD ALSO BE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA
ON TUESDAY AS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE MORE UNSTABLE.


.LONG TERM...
THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE MID ATLANTIC STATES MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK PUSHING THE COLD FRONT THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA AND INTO
THE FLORIDA STRAITS BY END OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING IN DRIER
AND COOLER WEATHER TO SOUTH FLORIDA FOR LATE NEXT WEEK. AT THIS
TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE LOWS FOR LATE NEXT WEEK WILL BE IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S OVER MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...EXCEPT MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S OVER THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS.

THE WINDS WILL ALSO PICK UP BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT
FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS COULD ALLOW FOR THE WIND CHILLS
OVER THE AREAS WEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 40S FOR THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE... THE WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE FROM 20 TO 25 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS BY SUNDAY EVENING...AS THE WINDS SWING
FROM AN EASTERLY DIRECTION THIS AFTERNOON TO A SOUTHEAST DIRECTION
ON SUNDAY. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHERLY ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
WITH WIND SPEEDS AT 15 KNOTS OR LESS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE
ATLANTIC SEAS TO FALL FROM 7 TO 9 FEET THIS AFTERNOON TO LESS THAN 7
FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING AND REMAIN BELOW 7 FEET THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. FOR THE GULF SIDE...THE SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW 6 FEET THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. SCA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE ATLANTIC AND
BISCAYNE BAY WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE SCA FOR THE GULF
SIDE WILL BE DROPPED. THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE WATERS WILL REMAIN IN AN
SCEC CONDITION FOR TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  75  83  75  86 /  40  40  20  20
FORT LAUDERDALE  77  83  77  85 /  40  30  20  20
MIAMI            76  84  76  86 /  30  20  20  20
NAPLES           71  82  71  82 /  20  20  10  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR FLZ173.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR FLZ168-172-173.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR AMZ650-651-670-
     671.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR AMZ630.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR AMZ630.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ656-657-
     676.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...54/BNB
LONG TERM....54/BNB




U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE