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100
FXUS62 KMFL 290539
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1239 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. DRAINAGE FLOW WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 10-15
KNOTS BY MID MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING. FEW/SCT CLOUDS AT 4-5KFT ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 737 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2014/

AVIATION...
NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS OF 5-10 KNOTS OVERNIGHT WILL INCREASE AGAIN
TO 10-15 KTS TOMORROW AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE 24 HR TAF CYCLE PARTICULARLY STARTING LATE TONIGHT
AND TOMORROW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD NORTH OF THE REGION.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST CYCLE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 214 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE LONGWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN SEABOARD IS GRADUALLY PULLING
OUT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD IN ACROSS FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND
THROUGH MONDAY. GFS AND ECMWF SHOW ANOTHER TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE
SOUTHEAST STATES TUE-WED HOWEVER, THIS IS MUCH LESS AMPLIFIED AND
WILL HAVE MINIMAL AFFECT ON THE WEATHER LOCALLY. BUILDING
HEIGHTS/RIDGING WILL RETURN FOR THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.

THE RESULT WILL BE A RATHER TRANQUIL PERIOD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH STORM SYSTEMS REMAINING WELL OFF TO THE
NORTH. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LOW WITH POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SHOWING PWATS THROUGH NEXT WEEK AVERAGING JUST AN INCH, BUT A BRIEF
SPIKE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG WITH WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGHING
MID WEEK COULD LEAD TO A FEW SHOWERS ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST...ESPECIALLY TUE-WED.

THE COOL TEMPERATURES OF THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL GRADUALLY
MODERATE AS SURFACE WINDS VEER AND BECOMING EASTERLY BY SUNDAY.
INSTEAD OF WINDS BLOWING DOWN THE PENINSULA FROM THE CONTINENT,
WINDS WILL BE BLOWING OFF OF THE WARM GULF STREAM CURRENT, PROVIDING
FOR WARMING CONDITIONS ALONG WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
DEWPOINTS...INTO THE 60S NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL RUN SLIGHTLY
ABOVE AVERAGE NEXT WEEK.

MARINE...
AS WINDS BECOME NORTHEAST TONIGHT THEN EAST NORTHEAST THIS
WEEKEND, SEAS IN THE GULF STREAM WILL GRADUALLY LOWER AS THE FLOW
BECOMES NON-OPPOSING TO THE CURRENT. SEAS IN THE GULF STREAM ARE
FORECAST TO LOWER BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL THIS EVENING. A MODERATE TO
FRESH EAST NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTH
FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS NEXT WEEK WITH SEAS BELOW HAZARDOUS LEVELS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  74  66  77  70 /  10  10  10  10
FORT LAUDERDALE  75  68  78  71 /  10  10  10  10
MIAMI            76  67  79  71 /  10  10  10  10
NAPLES           75  59  78  63 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...84/AK
LONG TERM....84/AK
AVIATION...84/AK




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