000
FXUS62 KMFL 262006
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
306 PM EST THU NOV 26 2009

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT AT 19Z APPEARS TO BE ROUGHLY ALONG A
HANDLE BEACH TO CENTRAL MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY. WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT SHOULD
MAKE IT SOUTH OF THE PENINSULA BY THE END OF THE AFTERNOON.
GRADUALLY CLEARING WILL TAKE PLACE LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
MID EVENING HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM TEXAS INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF STATES THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AND THEN OFF THE
SOUTHEAST COAST BY SUNDAY. WIND FLOW WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST BY
SUNDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO THE AREA
FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS OR SO AND THEN MODIFICATION BEGINS AGAIN ON
SUNDAY. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
MONDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL BECOMES STALLED AND A LOW WILL DEVELOP
ALONG IT LATER TUESDAY. THIS LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE
ATLANTIC BY WEDNESDAY. THE ATTENDANT FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. HAVE STAYED WITH SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR NOW STARTING TUESDAY WILL INCREASING MOISTURE.
THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES FOR RAIN WITH THE
FRONT BUT WILL NOT CHANGE ONGING FCST ATTM.

&&

.MARINE...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT TO AT OR
ABOVE 20 KNOTS FOR THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC AND BISCAYNE BAY LATER
TONIGHT. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES FURTHER EAST, THE WINDS RELAX
A BIT BELOW SCA CRITERIA FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT TO THE EAST AT LIGHT SPEEDS SUNDAY, SOUTHEAST BY MONDAY AND
THEN SOUTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT. EXPECT A
SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE NEXT FRONT THURSDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR 10 AM TO
6 PM ON SATURDAY FOR ALL AREAS. A WARNING FOR FRIDAY WILL BE
NEEDED TONIGHT. A WATCH MOST LIKELY WILL BE NEEDED FOR THE WESTERN
INTERIOR AREAS SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY, THE LOWEST RH WILL BE 45
PERCENT OVER THE NORTHWEST AREAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  51  69  46  73 / 10 -  -  -
FORT LAUDERDALE  56  71  51  73 / 10 -  -  -
MIAMI            57  71  52  74 / 10 -  -  -
NAPLES           52  68  47  72 / -  -  -  -

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR FLZ063-FLZ066-FLZ067-FLZ068-FLZ069-FLZ070-FLZ071-FLZ072-
     FLZ073-FLZ074-FLZ075-FLZ168-FLZ172-FLZ173-FLZ174.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY FOR AMZ630-
     AMZ650-AMZ651-AMZ670-AMZ671.

GM...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM...18/GR
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...54/BNB