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AGUS71 KRHA 251503
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1003 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

...COASTAL STORM WILL IMPACT THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION WEDNESDAY...

A COLD FRONT BROUGHT SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS TUESDAY TO THE REGION.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WERE MOSTLY UNDER A QUARTER INCH.

  Value  County                St  Location
   0.33  Ulster                NY  Phoenicia
   0.32  Greene                NY  East Jewitt
   0.13  York                  VA  Newport News 5.8NE C
   0.11  York                  VA  Newport News 7.5NNE
   0.10  Allegany              NY  Wellsville
   0.08  Bradford              PA  Hugos Corners IFLOWS
   0.08  Onondaga              NY  Syracuse AP
   0.07  Steuben               NY  Arkport Lake GOES
   0.07  Sullivan              NY  Neversink Reservoir
   0.06  Allegany              NY  Alfred COOP
   0.06  Steuben               NY  Almond Dam
   0.06  Bergen                NJ  Park Ridge
   0.05  Wayne                 PA  Hawley
   0.05  Rockland              NY  Nanuet DCP
   0.05  Sullivan              NY  Rock Hill 3SW

THAT FRONT IS NOW STALLED ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST. LOW PRESSURE WILL
ORGANIZE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO TODAY BEFORE STARTING ITS JOURNEY UP THE
COAST TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD VIRGINIA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH TONIGHT REACHING SOUTHERN
PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. RAIN IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS MOST OF THE JAMES BASIN THROUGH THE I-95
CORRIDOR. PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY SNOW ACROSS THE UPPER POTOMAC
BASIN AND SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA BUT IT MAY START AS RAIN.

ON WEDNESDAY THE LOW WILL MOVE UP THE COAST WITH MAINLY RAIN EXPECTED
FROM THE BIG CITIES SOUTH AND EAST. SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS THE INTERIOR
WITH WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE FROM THE UPPER POTOMAC
BASIN TO NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK INCLUDING MUCH OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING BUT AN
UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ANOTHER PERIOD OF SNOW OR RAIN TO THE
SOUTHERN BASINS.

THURSDAY WILL TURN DRY, BRISK AND COLDER WITH SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED FOR
THE UPPER SUSQUEHANNA AND UPPER POTOMAC BASINS.

ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS, MINOR CHANGES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.
GENERALLY MINOR RISES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY FROM VIRGINIA
TO SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY INCLUDING SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. STEADY TO
SLOWLY FALLING STAGES ARE EXPECTED FOR ALL THE BASINS BY THE WEEKEND.

ALL DAILY RIVER FORECASTS HAVE BEEN ISSUED.

TJR
NNNN





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