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150
FNUS76 KSTO 200458
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAPPY VALLEY...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
958 PM PDT SUN OCT 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAIN TO THE
BURN SITE TODAY (MONDAY) AND TONIGHT (MONDAY NIGHT). THERE IS ALSO
A RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM LATE (MONDAY) AFTERNOON AND INTO EARLY
EVENING. COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR
WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE BETWEEN NOON AND 1600 MONDAY. RIDGING
GRADUALLY BUILDS OVER THE AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOR DRIER AND
MILDER WEATHER.


.TODAY (MONDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHEAST UP TO 3 MPH IN THE MORNING...SOUTHWEST
                    4 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH IN THE MORNING...SOUTHWEST
                    8 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING AND
                    INTO AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING...SOUTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                    SOUTHEAST UP TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...AND
                    SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH UP TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST UP TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST UP TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST TO
                    NORTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...AND
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2000-2500 FT AGL EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST UP TO 3 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    AND NORTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


FORECASTER...JHM
REQUESTED BY...JASON WITHROW
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.HAPPY.01/STO

$$








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