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164
FNUS75 KPIH 211711
FWSPIH

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORDIC CENTER PILE BURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1011 AM MST FRI NOV 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ONE MORE QUIET DAY OF WEATHER BEFORE A POTENT STORM AFFECTS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL ARRIVE CLOSER TO SUNRISE AND START OUT AS SNOW. WINDS
WILL ACTUALLY PICK UP TONIGHT A FEW HOURS AHEAD OF THE ARRIVAL OF SNOW. BY MID-MORNING
SNOW LEVELS WILL RISE TO AROUND 5800-6000FT BEFORE TRYING TO DROP BACK TO 5200-5500
FT LATER IN THE DAY. CURRENT FORECASTS HAVE 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE BURN AREA.
IF WE END UP WITH JUST A BIT MORE SNOW THAN RAIN AMOUNTS CLOSER TO THE HIGH END
ARE LIKELY...AND THE OTHER END IF MORE RAIN THAN SNOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........43-48.
RH..................42-47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-800FT AGL AT IGNITION. 800-1000FT AGL BY 1400MDT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........28-33.
RH..................95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 21 MPH THIS EVENING.
                    SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW BEFORE 800MDT. SNOW AND RAIN AFTER 800MDT.
TEMPERATURE.........33-38.
RH..................83-88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 18 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...KEYES
REQUESTED BY...ARIK JORGENSEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141121.NORDI.01/PIH







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