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861
FNUS74 KMOB 261207
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 200A...EGLIN AF BASE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
707 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0725 CDT ON JULY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE HIGH EXTENDING WEST OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY MIXED LAYER FLOW OVER THE
REGION THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN WELL OUTSIDE
CRITERIA THIS WEEKEND. DAYTIME DISPERSION GENERALLY GOOD TO GOOD.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...NO WIDESPREAD FOG DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6
                    TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING
                    TO WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........44     44     44     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.......ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............74     83     89     92     92     90
RH................100    74     59     54     56     60
20 FT WIND DIR....WNW    WNW    W      SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD....2      2      5      7      7      8
20 FT WIND GUST...                     14     14     16
MIX HGT (FT)......600    600    3700   6700   6700   4400
MIX HGT (M).......180    180    1130   2040   2040   1340
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      W      W      W      W      WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      6      7      8      8      12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      3      4      4      5
DISPERSION........6      6      29     38     38     47
LVORI.............5      5      2      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............20     20     20     30     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....47 DECREASING TO 7.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........50     30     30     30     30     30
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP..............88     84     80     77     76     75
RH................63     71     82     87     90     93
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     SW     WSW    WSW    WSW    W
20 FT WIND SPD....8      8      5      5      2      2
20 FT WIND GUST...16     15
MIX HGT (FT)......4400   2100   1400   1400   600    800
MIX HGT (M).......1340   640    430    430    180    240
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    SW     SW     SW     WSW    WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     15     13     13     10     8
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      7      6      6      4      4
DISPERSION........47     10     6      6      5      4
LVORI.............1      3      5      5      6      6
STABILITY CLASS...B      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............30     20     20     20     10     10

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4500 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........30     38     38     38     36     36
WEATHER COV.......                            ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............75     78     87     91     92     91
RH................96     88     68     60     58     60
20 FT WIND DIR....W      W      W      W      WSW    WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....2      3      6      6      9      9
20 FT WIND GUST...                            16     17
MIX HGT (FT)......800    1100   4000   4000   6900   4500
MIX HGT (M).......240    340    1220   1220   2100   1370
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    W      WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...8      8      8      8      8      12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      4      4      4      5
DISPERSION........4      12     36     36     40     47
LVORI.............6      5      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      C      C
CWR...............10     10     10     10     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140726.200A_.01/MOB








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