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482
FNUS72 KMHX 281230
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SR-7...CAMP LEJEUNE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
730 AM EST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY...THEN
PASS OFFSHORE THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER
THE AREA LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL
AFFECT THE AREA LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY THEN HIGH PRESSURE
REBUILDS INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY.

WINDS TODAY WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE 25 TO 30%. WINDS WILL
BECOME CALM FOR A FEW HOURS LATE TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (EST)          11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............3   0   4   4   3   3   3
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................37  40  43  44  44  43  41
RH..................40  34  30  29  28  29  31
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......9   9   9   8   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15
LVORI...............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................37  40  42  53  48  45  39
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EST)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............2   2   4   6   9   11  14  15  18  24  30  35
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................38  35  33  31  30  29  29  28  28  26  25  23
RH..................37  43  47  51  53  53  51  53  53  60  62  68
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......5   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....    5   5   5
LVORI...............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
ADI.................26  11  13  9   6   2   1   2   2   3   4   4
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO
                    13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............41  44  29  32  35  39  42  44  46  52  58  64
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................22  22  26  32  39  43  45  48  49  49  49  48
RH..................71  71  60  47  35  32  29  29  30  33  37  42
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   NE  E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5                       10  10  10  10  10
LVORI...............3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................3   5   2   2   2   4   11  19  25  24  27  21
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...ELARDO
REQUESTED BY...BARRETT BAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.SR7__.02/MHX







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