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566
FNUS72 KMHX 211459
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE GROVE RD...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
959 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY
PRODUCING LOW MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 25 PERCENT.
COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE WILL AFFECT THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 12 TO 20 MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON THEN
                    DIMINISHING TO 7 TO 12 MPH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (EST)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............14     8      4      3      1
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................44     49     47     46     43
RH..................40     28     30     32     35
20 FT WIND..........N 12   N 11   N 9    N 7    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     20     17     12
LVORI...............2      1      1      1      1
ADI.................10     37     48     41     34
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      0      1      6
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40     35     32     31     29     27
RH..................39     47     56     56     60     71
20 FT WIND..........N 5    N 5    NE 5   NE 4   N 4    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                     5      5      5
LVORI...............2      2      2      3      3      3
ADI.................23     10     10     5      5      4
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 6 MPH...DECREASING TO 1 TO 2 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............9      10     12     14     15     19
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................26     28     42     49     54     52
RH..................78     78     50     44     40     48
20 FT WIND..........N 3    N 3    NE 3   E 3    E 3    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5
LVORI...............4      4      2      2      2      2
ADI.................3      3      3      7      2      3
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...FREDERICK
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141121.PINEG.01/MHX







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