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124
FNUS76 KMFR 202052
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAPPY CAMP COMPLEX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
152 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1315 PDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS A FRONT WEAKENS
OVER THE AREA AND AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. SHOWERS WILL
DIMINISH TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN A VERY WEAK RIDGE WILL ALLOW
SOME AFTERNOON SUNSHINE AND DRYING. THIS BREAK IN THE RAIN WILL
LAST INTO WEDNESDAY, BUT SOUTH WINDS WILL BEGIN INCREASING AS A
STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE COAST. RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
INCIDENT LATE WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. THE RAIN
MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THE FRONT
WILL WEAKEN OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THEN LIFT BACK NORTH AS A
WARM FRONT FRIDAY WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN LIKELY. UNSETTLED WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH ANOTHER FRONT POSSIBLE EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....VALLEYS/LOWER SLOPES...40-44.
                    RIDGES.................36-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VALLEYS/LOWER SLOPES...LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
                    RIDGES.................SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VALLEYS/LOWER SLOPES...LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
                    RIDGES.................SOUTHWEST 4-6 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....VALLEYS/LOWER SLOPES...53-56.
                    RIDGES.................46-50.
MIN HUMIDITY........VALLEYS/LOWER SLOPES...55-60%.
                    RIDGES.................65-70%.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VALLEYS/LOWER SLOPES...LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
                    RIDGES.................SOUTH 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VALLEYS/LOWER SLOPES...LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
                    RIDGES.................SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN DEVELOPING. LOWS 39 TO 45. HIGHS 44 TO
54. BREEZY WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
RAIN...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES. LOWS 43 TO 49. HIGHS 45 TO 55.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
RAIN. LOWS 41 TO 47. HIGHS 45 TO 55. SOUTH WINDS 5-15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 37 TO 43. HIGHS 44 TO 54. SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS 43 TO 53.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE. LOWS NEAR 40. HIGHS 46
TO 56.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...DONALD FREGULIA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20141020.HAPPY.01/MFR








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