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398
FNUS74 KMEG 172143
FWSMEG

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-161 17 18 TIPPAH LAKE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
443 PM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1645 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RECOVER QUICKLY AFTER SUNDOWN. CLOUD
COVER WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST
FROM THE GULF AND A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. SLIGHT
CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING
HOURS.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES AS
HIGHS REACH THE MID TO UPPER 70S. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
CLOUD COVER.....PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)..10     10     10     20     20     20
PRECIP TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
TEMPERATURE.....67     62     58     55     53     51
DEWPOINT........42     43     44     44     44     45
RH (%)..........39     52     63     69     75     79
20FT WIND MPH...S 6    SE 5   E 3    SE 3   E 3    NE 2
20FT WIND GUST..8      7      4      4      4      2
MIXHGT M AGL....1421   819    1      298    482    275
MIXHGT FT AGL...4665   2688   4      980    1583   905
MIXHGT M MSL....1600   1002   184    472    656    455
MIXHGT FT MSL...5252   3288   604    1549   2154   1495
TRANS WND M/S...SE 4   SE 4   SE 3   SE 4   S 6    S 5
TRANS WND MPH...SE 10  SE 9   SE 6   SE 9   S 13   S 12
CATEGORY DAY....3      2      1      1      2      1

.FRIDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
CLOUD COVER.....MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)..20     20     20     20     20     10
PRECIP TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMPERATURE.....50     53     60     66     69     70
DEWPOINT........46     46     46     47     47     47
RH (%)..........85     77     60     51     46     44
20FT WIND MPH...E 3    E 5    E 5    E 6    E 8    NE 9
20FT WIND GUST..4      7      7      8      11     12
MIXHGT M AGL....64     416    1167   1169   1213   1369
MIXHGT FT AGL...211    1367   3831   3838   3982   4494
MIXHGT M MSL....242    599    1350   1352   1388   1543
MIXHGT FT MSL...794    1968   4431   4438   4554   5065
TRANS WND M/S...SE 4   SE 2   SE 2   E 3    E 4    E 4
TRANS WND MPH...SE 8   SE 5   SE 5   E 7    E 9    E 10
CATEGORY DAY....1      1      2      2      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...CHIUPPI
REQUESTED BY...JIM WALDEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.C1611.02/MEG







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