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307
FNUS74 KLZK 231114
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKFORK 31...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
614 AM CDT WED APR 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA AGAIN TODAY. MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES ARE EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT IN MOST AREAS BUT MAY
BECOME GUSTY IN THE NORTH. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE
30S TODAY. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE THURSDAY AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY EVENING. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH ARKANSAS SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH POSSIBLY STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 22
                       MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4700 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3768 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............67  71  74  75  77  78  80
RH..............52  48  45  43  41  39  37
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   10  10  10  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.9   9   11  11  11  11  9
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   6   6   6   6   5
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   6   6   6   6   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15  16  17  18  18  20  22
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 23 TO 32 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2500 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1556 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....5.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............78  76  74  73  71  69  67  66  65  64  63  62
RH..............40  43  46  50  54  58  62  67  70  73  77  80
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.23  24  25  28  29  31  32  32  32  32  32  31
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.
RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 24 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4000 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3053 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC
WEATHER COV.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....    TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............62  61  63  65  68  71  73  75  76  77  78  78
RH..............82  84  82  75  69  64  60  57  55  53  52  50
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   10  10  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.9   9   11  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   6   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.30  29  29  29  29  28  28  28  26  26  25  24
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40

$$
FORECASTER...L PYLE
REQUESTED BY...DARWIN BULT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140423.BLACK.01/LZK







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