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737
FNUS74 KLZK 251527
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR HOLLOW...NPS BUFFALO NATIONAL RIVER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
927 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0901 CST ON JANUARY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS TODAY...WITH GUSTY WINDS
OCCURRING. SUSTAINED 20-FOOT WIND SPEEDS WILL PEAK AROUND 12 TO
14 MPH FROM THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS EXCEEDING 18 MPH AT TIMES.
WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT REQUEST...MAX 51.
RH..................69 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 49 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 23 TO 32 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                       AROUND 43 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3936 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............48  49  50  50  49  49  48  47  46
RH..............69  65  62  59  59  59  61  63  65
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8   10  12  12  12  13  13  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.11  14  14  18  18  18  18  18  18
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
EYE LVL WND GST.6   8   8   11  11  11  11  11  11
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.30  32  33  36  38  39  41  43  43
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    FLURRIES LATE IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 36 TO 43 MPH DECREASING TO 20 TO
                       22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 1600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 882 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....5.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  SW
TEMP............45  43  42  40  39  37  36  35  34  34  33  32
RH..............65  67  70  72  74  76  78  79  80  81  81  80
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..14  13  12  12  10  9   8   7   7   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.18  18  18  14  14  11  11  7   7   7   7   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.8   8   7   7   6   5   5   4   4   4   4   3
EYE LVL WND GST.11  11  11  8   8   6   6   4   4   4   4   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.43  41  40  38  36  33  31  29  26  24  22  20
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 17 TO 26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3700 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3055 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............32  35  38  41  44  47  51  53  55  56  55  53
RH..............80  71  64  57  52  48  44  41  39  39  41  45
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   5   5   5   7   7   7   7   7   7   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
EYE LVL WND GST.2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  17  17  17  17  17  18  20  22  23  25  26
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...J LEWIS
REQUESTED BY...TONY COLLINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150125.BEARH.01/LZK







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